Undergraduate textbooks for statistics courses in the behavioural, biological, and social sciences must devote so much space to the nuts-and-bolts details of statistical methods that they have little left over for the larger conceptual framework of probability theory. This brief, lucid book fills the gap with its intelligible and in-depth explanation of probability, laid out step-by-step in a clear and congenial fashion. Even the student with little background in mathematics will find it readable and accessible.
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'Richard Lowry's book offers a valuable approach to the technical and methodological difficulties ... A general understanding can be provided by Lowry's very clear text.' BTimes Higher Education Supplement
Introduction; "Common sense reduced to calculation"; The logic and arithmetic of compound probabilities; Probability pathways and a first glance at the logic of probability assessment; Binomial probabilities and the concept of sampling distributions; The normal distribution—remarkable crossroad of fact and theory; Some complex probability assessments based on the normal distribution; A brief climb to one of the next higher levels: Student's t-distributions and the logic of estimation; Appendix A: Table of the unit normal distribution; Appendix B: Table of critical values of student's t-distributions.
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