Eclipse: Living in the Shadow of China's Economic Dominance

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9780881326062: Eclipse: Living in the Shadow of China's Economic Dominance

By most accounts, China has quickly grown into the second largest economy in the world. In this controversial new book, Subramanian argues that China has already become the most economically dominant country in the world in terms of wealth, trade and finance. Its dominance and eclipsing of US global economic power is more imminent, more broad-based and larger in magnitude than anyone has anticipated. Subramanian compares the economic dominance of China with that of the two previous economic superpowers, the United States and the United Kingdom, and highlights similarities and differences. One corollary is that the fundamentals are strong for the Chinese currency to replace the dollar as the world's reserve currency. The final chapter forecasts how the international economic system is likely to evolve as a result of Chinese dominance.

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About the Author:

Arvind Subramanian, an Indian national, is senior fellow jointly at the Peterson Institute for International Economics and the Center for Global Development. He was assistant director in the Research Department of the International Monetary Fund. During his career at the Fund, he worked on trade, development, Africa, India, and the Middle East. He served at the GATT (1988-92) during the Uruguay Round of trade negotiations and taught at Harvard University's Kennedy School of Government (1999-2000) and at Johns Hopkins' School for Advanced International Studies (2008-10). He has written on growth, trade, development, institutions, aid, oil, India, Africa, the WTO, and intellectual property. He has published widely in academic and other journals, including the American Economic Review (Papers and Proceedings), Review of Economics and Statistics, Journal of International Economics, Journal of Monetary Economics, Journal of Public Economics, Journal of Economic Growth, Journal of Development Economics, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Oxford Review of Economic Policy, International Monetary Fund Staff Papers, Foreign Affairs, World Economy, and Economic and Political Weekly. He has also published or been cited in leading magazines and newspapers, including the Economist, Financial Times, Washington Post, New York Times, Wall Street Journal, Newsweek, and New York Review of Books.

Review:

Parts of 'Eclipse' read like a wonky version of 'Rising Sun,' Michael Crichton's 1992 novel of Japanese dominance over the U.S. when Tokyo was seen as speeding toward number one. But Mr. Subramanian is a first-class economist who uses his book to discuss provocatively U.S.-Chinese relations and the nature of economic power. --The Wall Street Journal

It's a very important contribution to an immensely important subject: essentially nothing short of the future of the world. And I admire much of it. It's brave, it's intelligent, and it's justly and rightly controversial. --Martin Wolf, chief economics commentator, the Financial Times

If you want to understand the true magnitude of the shift in economic power that is currently changing the world, Eclipse is the book to read--provocative, well argued and elegantly written. --Liaquat Ahamed, Pulitzer Prize winning author of Lords of Finance

'Subramanian makes a compelling point, which should receive wide attention.' -- Henry A. Kissinger

Defying conventional wisdom, Eclipse not just vividly imagines, but provides a plausible scenario for, the replacement of the United States by China as the world's dominant economic power. It persuasively underlines the need for Washington to get its act together. --Francis Fukuyama, Stanford University and author of The End of History and the Last Man and The Origins of Political Order

Eclipse must be read for a refreshing and deep analysis of what may lie ahead. It is an extremely well written and thought provoking book. --Mohamed El-Erian, Chief Executive, PIMCO and award-winning author of When Markets Collide

Eclipse is a fascinating read. Controversial, but meant to be, it has the potential to set the terms of our ongoing discussion on what is perhaps the hottest issue in the global economy--China's role. Its quantification of power alone will attract considerable interest. --Dani Rodrik, Professor of Economics, Harvard University and author of The Globalization Paradox

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Arvind Subramanian
Editore: The Peterson Institute for International Economics, United States (2011)
ISBN 10: 0881326062 ISBN 13: 9780881326062
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Descrizione libro The Peterson Institute for International Economics, United States, 2011. Paperback. Condizione libro: New. Language: English . Brand New Book. In his new book, Arvind Subramanian presents the following possibilities: What if, contrary to common belief, China s economic dominance is a present-day reality rather than a faraway possibility? What if the renminbi s takeover of the dollar as the world s reserve currency is not decades, but mere years, away? And what if the United States s economic preeminence is not, as many economists and policymakers would like to believe, in its own hands, but China s to determine?Subramanian s analysis is based on a new index of economic dominance grounded in a historical perspective. His examination makes use of real-world examples, comparing China s rise with the past hegemonies of Great Britain and the United States. His attempt to quantify and project economic and currency dominance leads him to the conclusion that China s dominance is not only more imminent, but also broader in scope, and much larger in magnitude, than is currently imagined. He explores the profound effect this might have on the United States, as well as on the global financial and trade system. Subramanian concludes with a series of policy proposals for other nations to reconcile China s rise with continued openness in the global economic order, and to insure against China becoming a malign hegemon. Codice libro della libreria AAH9780881326062

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Descrizione libro The Peterson Institute for International Economics, United States, 2011. Paperback. Condizione libro: New. Language: English . Brand New Book. In his new book, Arvind Subramanian presents the following possibilities: What if, contrary to common belief, China s economic dominance is a present-day reality rather than a faraway possibility? What if the renminbi s takeover of the dollar as the world s reserve currency is not decades, but mere years, away? And what if the United States s economic preeminence is not, as many economists and policymakers would like to believe, in its own hands, but China s to determine?Subramanian s analysis is based on a new index of economic dominance grounded in a historical perspective. His examination makes use of real-world examples, comparing China s rise with the past hegemonies of Great Britain and the United States. His attempt to quantify and project economic and currency dominance leads him to the conclusion that China s dominance is not only more imminent, but also broader in scope, and much larger in magnitude, than is currently imagined. He explores the profound effect this might have on the United States, as well as on the global financial and trade system. Subramanian concludes with a series of policy proposals for other nations to reconcile China s rise with continued openness in the global economic order, and to insure against China becoming a malign hegemon. Codice libro della libreria AAH9780881326062

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Descrizione libro The Peterson Institute for International Economics, United States, 2011. Paperback. Condizione libro: New. Language: English . This book usually ship within 10-15 business days and we will endeavor to dispatch orders quicker than this where possible. Brand New Book. In his new book, Arvind Subramanian presents the following possibilities: What if, contrary to common belief, China s economic dominance is a present-day reality rather than a faraway possibility? What if the renminbi s takeover of the dollar as the world s reserve currency is not decades, but mere years, away? And what if the United States s economic preeminence is not, as many economists and policymakers would like to believe, in its own hands, but China s to determine?Subramanian s analysis is based on a new index of economic dominance grounded in a historical perspective. His examination makes use of real-world examples, comparing China s rise with the past hegemonies of Great Britain and the United States. His attempt to quantify and project economic and currency dominance leads him to the conclusion that China s dominance is not only more imminent, but also broader in scope, and much larger in magnitude, than is currently imagined. He explores the profound effect this might have on the United States, as well as on the global financial and trade system. Subramanian concludes with a series of policy proposals for other nations to reconcile China s rise with continued openness in the global economic order, and to insure against China becoming a malign hegemon. Codice libro della libreria BTE9780881326062

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