Clinical Versus Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence

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9780963878496: Clinical Versus Statistical Prediction: A Theoretical Analysis and a Review of the Evidence

Clinical versus Statistical Prediction is Paul Meehl's famous examination of benefits and disutilities related to the different ways of combining information to make predictions. It is a clarifying analysis as relevant today as when it first appeared.

A major methodological problem for clinical psychology concerns the relation between clinical and actuarial methods of arriving at diagnoses and predicting behavior. Without prejudging the question as to whether these methods are fundamentally different, we can at least set forth the obvious distinctions between them in practical applications. The problem is to predict how a person is going to behave: What is the most accurate way to go about this task?

Clinical versus Statistical Prediction offers a penetrating and thorough look at the pros and cons of human judgment versus actuarial integration of information as applied to the prediction problem. Widely considered the leading text on the subject, Paul Meehl's landmark analysis is reprinted here in its entirety, including his updated preface written forty-two years after the first publication of the book.

This classic work is a must-have for students and practitioners interested in better understanding human behavior, for anyone wanting to make the most accurate decisions from all sorts of data, and for those interested in the ethics and intricacies of prediction. As Meehl puts it, "When one is dealing with human lives and life opportunities, it is immoral to adopt a mode of decision-making which has been demonstrated repeatedly to be either inferior in success rate or, when equal, costlier to the client or the taxpayer."

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Meehl, Paul E
Editore: Echo Point Books & Media
ISBN 10: 0963878492 ISBN 13: 9780963878496
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Descrizione libro Echo Point Books & Media. PAPERBACK. Condizione libro: New. 0963878492 *IN STOCK/SHIPS IMMEDIATELY* BRAND NEW: Definitely Gift Quality! Fast Shipping; usually with Tracking. 100% Satisfaction Guaranteed. More Details: CONDITION: This book is absolutely brand new and can be given as a gift. . . . SHIPPING: We ship all orders within two business days of receiving your order. And at our extra expense, we typically provide tracking (except we do not usually include tracking for inexpensive books). Please note: if you live in Hawaii or Alaska, Puerto Rico or Guam, please order priority if you need your order quickly because NON-expedited delivery to those far-away places can be very slow (that is the same for every seller; it is a postal issue). Within the lower 48 we are fast! . . . OUR SERVICE: As the thoroughness of this description suggests, we take customer service and your complete satisfaction seriously. We stand by our name and offer an iron-clad 100% satisfaction guarantee. We ship right away, respond quickly to inquiries, and are dedicated to providing elite customer service!. Codice libro della libreria EP9780963878496NW

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Dr Paul E Meehl
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Descrizione libro Echo Point Books and Media, 2013. PAP. Condizione libro: New. New Book. Shipped from US within 10 to 14 business days. THIS BOOK IS PRINTED ON DEMAND. Established seller since 2000. Codice libro della libreria IQ-9780963878496

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Meehl, Paul E
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Descrizione libro Echo Point Books & Media, 2013. Paperback. Condizione libro: New. Codice libro della libreria INGM9780963878496

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Descrizione libro Echo Point Books Media, United States, 2013. Paperback. Condizione libro: New. 234 x 188 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book ***** Print on Demand *****. Clinical versus Statistical Prediction is Paul Meehl s famous examination of benefits and disutilities related to the different ways of combining information to make predictions. It is a clarifying analysis as relevant today as when it first appeared. A major methodological problem for clinical psychology concerns the relation between clinical and actuarial methods of arriving at diagnoses and predicting behavior. Without prejudging the question as to whether these methods are fundamentally different, we can at least set forth the obvious distinctions between them in practical applications. The problem is to predict how a person is going to behave: What is the most accurate way to go about this task? Clinical versus Statistical Prediction offers a penetrating and thorough look at the pros and cons of human judgment versus actuarial integration of information as applied to the prediction problem. Widely considered the leading text on the subject, Paul Meehl s landmark analysis is reprinted here in its entirety, including his updated preface written forty-two years after the first publication of the book. This classic work is a must-have for students and practitioners interested in better understanding human behavior, for anyone wanting to make the most accurate decisions from all sorts of data, and for those interested in the ethics and intricacies of prediction. As Meehl puts it, When one is dealing with human lives and life opportunities, it is immoral to adopt a mode of decision-making which has been demonstrated repeatedly to be either inferior in success rate or, when equal, costlier to the client or the taxpayer. Codice libro della libreria AAV9780963878496

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Dr Paul E Meehl
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ISBN 10: 0963878492 ISBN 13: 9780963878496
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Descrizione libro Echo Point Books Media, United States, 2013. Paperback. Condizione libro: New. 234 x 188 mm. Language: English . Brand New Book ***** Print on Demand *****. Clinical versus Statistical Prediction is Paul Meehl s famous examination of benefits and disutilities related to the different ways of combining information to make predictions. It is a clarifying analysis as relevant today as when it first appeared. A major methodological problem for clinical psychology concerns the relation between clinical and actuarial methods of arriving at diagnoses and predicting behavior. Without prejudging the question as to whether these methods are fundamentally different, we can at least set forth the obvious distinctions between them in practical applications. The problem is to predict how a person is going to behave: What is the most accurate way to go about this task? Clinical versus Statistical Prediction offers a penetrating and thorough look at the pros and cons of human judgment versus actuarial integration of information as applied to the prediction problem. Widely considered the leading text on the subject, Paul Meehl s landmark analysis is reprinted here in its entirety, including his updated preface written forty-two years after the first publication of the book. This classic work is a must-have for students and practitioners interested in better understanding human behavior, for anyone wanting to make the most accurate decisions from all sorts of data, and for those interested in the ethics and intricacies of prediction. As Meehl puts it, When one is dealing with human lives and life opportunities, it is immoral to adopt a mode of decision-making which has been demonstrated repeatedly to be either inferior in success rate or, when equal, costlier to the client or the taxpayer. Codice libro della libreria AAV9780963878496

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Descrizione libro Echo Point Books and Media, 2013. PAP. Condizione libro: New. New Book. Delivered from our UK warehouse in 3 to 5 business days. THIS BOOK IS PRINTED ON DEMAND. Established seller since 2000. Codice libro della libreria IQ-9780963878496

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Descrizione libro Echo Point Books & Media, 2017. Paperback. Condizione libro: New. This item is printed on demand. Codice libro della libreria 0963878492

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Descrizione libro Echo Point Books & Media, 2016. Paperback. Condizione libro: New. PRINT ON DEMAND Book; New; Publication Year 2016; Not Signed; Fast Shipping from the UK. No. book. Codice libro della libreria ria9780963878496_lsuk

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Descrizione libro Echo Point Books & Media. PAPERBACK. Condizione libro: New. 0963878492 Special order direct from the distributor. Codice libro della libreria ING9780963878496

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