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Quantifying Counterfactual Military History

Brennen Fagan

Editore: CRC Press (2023)

ISBN 10: 1138592382 ISBN 13: 9781138592384

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Descrizione libro PAP. Condizione: New. New Book. Shipped from UK. Established seller since 2000. Codice articolo GB-9781138592384

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Quantifying Counterfactual Military History (Paperback or Softback)

Fagan, Brennen

Editore: CRC Press 9/27/2023 (2023)

ISBN 10: 1138592382 ISBN 13: 9781138592384

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Descrizione libro Paperback or Softback. Condizione: New. Quantifying Counterfactual Military History 0.62. Book. Codice articolo BBS-9781138592384

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Quantifying Counterfactual Military History (ASA-CRC Series on Statistical Reasoning in Science and Society) by Fagan, Brennen, Horwood, Ian, MacKay, Niall, Price, Christopher [Paperback ]

"Fagan, Brennen", "Horwood, Ian", "MacKay, Niall", "Price, Christopher"

Editore: Chapman and Hall/CRC (2023)

ISBN 10: 1138592382 ISBN 13: 9781138592384

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Descrizione libro Soft Cover. Condizione: new. This item is printed on demand. Codice articolo 9781138592384

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Quantifying Counterfactual Military History (ASA-CRC Series on Statistical Reasoning in Science and Society)

Fagan, Brennen; Horwood, Ian; MacKay, Niall; Price, Christopher

Editore: Chapman and Hall/CRC (2023)

ISBN 10: 1138592382 ISBN 13: 9781138592384

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Descrizione libro Condizione: New. Codice articolo I-9781138592384

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Quantifying Counterfactual Military History (Paperback)

Brennen Fagan

Editore: Taylor & Francis Ltd, London (2023)

ISBN 10: 1138592382 ISBN 13: 9781138592384

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Descrizione libro Paperback. Condizione: new. Paperback. Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed under great pressure. They may also be successful or catastrophic, but how are historians to make such judgements and appeal to evidence in support of their conclusions? Further, and crucially, how exactly are we to distinguish probable unrealized alternatives from improbable ones? This book describes some of the modern statistical techniques that can begin to answer this question, as well as some of the difficulties in doing so. Using simple, well-quantified cases drawn from military history, we claim that statistics can now help us to navigate the near-truths, the envelope around the events with which any meaningful historical analysis must deal, and to quantify the basis of such analysis. Quantifying Counterfactual Military History is intended for a general audience who are interested in learning more about statistical methods both in military history and for wider applications.Key Features: This book demonstrates how modern statistical techniques can measure the impact of counterfactual decisions. It examines the importance of counterfactual reasoning for both modern scholars and historical actors. It combines historical narrative, mathematical precision and data to create a straightforward presentation of both factual and counterfactual military history. It provides an original contribution to the debate over the validity and rigour of works of counterfactual history. It is written in a manner accessible to readers who have no formal training in History or Statistics. Forces shaping human history are complex, but the course of history is undeniably changed on many occasions by conscious acts. These may be premeditated or responsive, calmly calculated or performed under great pressure. How can we distinguish probable unrealized alternatives from improbable ones? Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. Codice articolo 9781138592384

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