The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
'Funny, quirky and thought-provoking ... confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot' John Cornwell, Sunday Times
'Idiosyncratically brilliant' Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph
'Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling' Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics
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EUR 2,89
Da: Regno Unito a: Italia
Descrizione libro Paperback. Condizione: New. BRAND NEW ** SUPER FAST SHIPPING FROM UK WAREHOUSE ** 30 DAY MONEY BACK GUARANTEE. Codice articolo 9780141034591-GDR
Descrizione libro Condizione: New. 2010. 02nd Edition. Paperback. Why are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this book, the author distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness. Num Pages: 480 pages, Illustrations. BIC Classification: GPF. Category: (G) General (US: Trade). Dimension: 197 x 129 x 28. Weight in Grams: 352. . . . . . Codice articolo V9780141034591
Descrizione libro Condizione: New. 2010. 02nd Edition. Paperback. Why are we so often unwilling to accept that life is unpredictable? In this book, the author distils his idiosyncratic wisdom to demolish our illusions, contrasting the classical values of courage, elegance and erudition against modern philistinism and phoniness. Num Pages: 480 pages, Illustrations. BIC Classification: GPF. Category: (G) General (US: Trade). Dimension: 197 x 129 x 28. Weight in Grams: 352. . . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland. Codice articolo V9780141034591
Descrizione libro paperback. Condizione: New. Language: ENG. Codice articolo 9780141034591
Descrizione libro Condizione: New. pp. xxxiv + 444 + [ii] Illus. Codice articolo 6424678
Descrizione libro PAP. Condizione: New. New Book. Shipped from UK. Established seller since 2000. Codice articolo DB-9780141034591
Descrizione libro Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. Neuware -THE BLACK SWAN is a concept that will change the way you look at the world. Black Swans underlie almost everything, from the rise of religions, to events in our own lives. A Black Swan is a highly improbable event with three principle characteristics: it is unpredictable; it carries a massive impact; and, after the fact, we concoct an explanation that makes it appear less random and more predictable than it was. The astonishing success of Google was a black swan; so was 9/11. Why do we always ignore the phenomenon of Black Swans until after they occur As Taleb reveals, we are hard-wired not to truly estimate risk, too vulnerable to the impulse to simplify and not open enough to rewarding those who can imagine the 'impossible'. In this revelatory book, Taleb explains everything we know about what we don't know, and shows us how to face the world. 444 pp. Englisch. Codice articolo 9780141034591
Descrizione libro Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. Neuware -Ein 'Black Swan' ist ein sehr unwahrscheinliches Ereignis mit drei Hauptcharakteristika: es ist nicht vorhersehbar, es hat massivste Auswirkungen, und es wird hinterher plötzlich als vorhersagbar und nicht überraschend dargestellt. 444 pp. Englisch. Codice articolo 9780141034591
Descrizione libro Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. Neuware -Ein 'Black Swan' ist ein sehr unwahrscheinliches Ereignis mit drei Hauptcharakteristika: es ist nicht vorhersehbar, es hat massivste Auswirkungen, und es wird hinterher plötzlich als vorhersagbar und nicht überraschend dargestellt. 444 pp. Englisch. Codice articolo 9780141034591
Descrizione libro Paperback / softback. Condizione: New. This item is printed on demand. New copy - Usually dispatched within 5-9 working days. Codice articolo C9780141034591