The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty
What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?
This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.
'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday
'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent
'Funny, quirky and thought-provoking ... confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot' John Cornwell, Sunday Times
'Idiosyncratically brilliant' Niall Ferguson, Sunday Telegraph
'Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling' Stephen J. Dubner, Co-Author of Freakonomics
Le informazioni nella sezione "Riassunto" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.
Great fun ... brash, stubborn, entertaining, opinionated, curious, cajoling (Freakonomics)
An idiosyncratically brilliant new book (Sunday Telegraph)
A fascinating study of how we are regularly taken for suckers by the unexpected (Guardian)
Like the conversation of a raconteur ... hugely enjoyable - compelling (Financial Times)
Confirms his status as a guru for every would-be Damien Hirst, George Soros and aspirant despot (Sunday Times)
In the tradition of The Wisdom of Crowds and The Tipping Point (Time)
Nassim Nicholas Taleb is an uncompromizing no-nonsense thinker for our times. He has spent his life immersing himself in problems of luck, uncertainty, probability, and knowledge, and he has led three high-profile careers around his ideas, as a man of letters, as a businessman-trader, and as a university professor and researcher. He is currently Distinguished Professor of Risk Engineering at New York University's School of Engineering. He is the author of the 4-volume INCERTO (Antifragile, The Black Swan, Fooled by Randomness, and The Bed of Procrustes). Taleb refuses all awards and honours as they debase knowledge by turning it into competitive sports.
Le informazioni nella sezione "Su questo libro" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.
Spese di spedizione:
GRATIS
Da: Regno Unito a: U.S.A.
Descrizione libro Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom, 2008. Paperback. Condizione: New. Trade Paperback. Language: English. Brand new Book. The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertaintyWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide . I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent. Codice articolo AAZ9780141034591
Descrizione libro Penguin Books Ltd, United Kingdom, 2008. Paperback. Condizione: New. Trade Paperback. Language: English. Brand new Book. The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertaintyWhat have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper? This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them. 'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide . I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent. Codice articolo BTA9780141034591
Descrizione libro Penguin Books Ltd 2008-02-28, London, 2008. paperback. Condizione: New. Re-issue. Language: ENG. Codice articolo 9780141034591
Descrizione libro Penguin, 2008. Paperback. Condizione: new. Re-issue. Codice articolo 9780141034591
Descrizione libro Penguin Books Ltd, 2008. PAP. Condizione: New. Re-issue. New Book. Shipped from UK. Established seller since 2000. Codice articolo GB-9780141034591
Descrizione libro Penguin, 2008. Paperback. Condizione: New. As new. Codice articolo 1-00120
Descrizione libro Penguin, 2008. Paperback. Condizione: Brand New. Re-issue. 480 pages. 7.64x5.04x1.26 inches. In Stock. Codice articolo __0141034599
Descrizione libro Penguin, 2008. Paperback. Condizione: New. Re-issue. Codice articolo ria9780141034591_new
Descrizione libro Penguin, 2008. Paperback. Condizione: New. Re-issue. BRAND NEW ** SUPER FAST SHIPPING FROM UK WAREHOUSE ** 30 DAY MONEY BACK GUARANTEE. Codice articolo mon0000198756
Descrizione libro Penguin, 2008. Paperback. Condizione: New. Re-issue. Codice articolo 5294735-n