counterfactual reasoning basic guide di hendrickson ph d (2 risultati)

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Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - Counterfactual reasoning evaluates conditional claims about alternate possibilities and their consequences (i.e., What If statements). Counterfactuals are essential to intelligence analysis. The process of counterfactual reasoning has three stages. First, one must establish the particular way in which the alternate possibility comes to be (i.e., develop its back-story ). Second, one must evaluate the events that occur between the time of the alternate possibility and the time for which one is considering its consequences. And third, one must examine the possible consequences of the alternate possibility s back-story and the events that follow it. In doing so, an analyst must connect conclusions to speci.