Can we avert violent conflicts and wars in the future? How can we prevent the growing numbers of refugees in the world? This book stresses a systematic approach to the collection, processing, analysis and evaluation of information. Key issues include: the manner in which the concept of early warning is translated into methodological approaches: identification of root causes of disputes and conflict situations; selection of indicators; determination of methodologies; use of new technologies; possible development of networking; and the search for conditions for possible settlement of conflicts.
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Notes on the Contributors - Preface - Introduction; K.Rupesinghe - Early Warning: Conceptual and Practical Issues; L.Gordenker - Early Warning in the UN Grand Strategy; G.Ramcharan - Socio-political Indicators for Early Warning Purposes; J.Dedring - Early Warning Capacity of the United Nations System: Prospects for the Future; - M.Kuroda - Human Rights Monitoring: Lessons Learnt from the Case of the Issak's in Somalia; G.Beyer - Information Aspects of Humanitarian Early Warning; H.Thoolen - Dangerous States and Endangered Peoples: Implications of Life-Integrety Violations Analysis; H.Fein - Famine Early Warning and Local Knowledge: The Possibilities for Pro-active Responses to Stress; P.Walker - The UN and the Resolution of Ethnic Conflict; S.Ryan - Peaceful Settlement of Post-45 Conflicts: a Comparative Study; H.Miall - Political and Cultural Background to Conflicts and Global Governance; K.Mushakoji - Selected Bibliography - Index
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