Little is known about the political dynamics of states that have just experienced an internal war, despite the increasing need to deal with such states in the post-Cold-War world. This work examines what prompts leaders in post-revolutionary states to employ repression or accommodation. Through statistical analysis and case studies of Iran, Cuba, Nicaragua, and Bolivia, it also examines the effects of these choices on how the domestic opposition reacts, what type of political system develops in the new state, and whether or not the leaders who institute these policies survive in power. The book concludes with a series of policy recommendations.
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MATTHEW KRAIN is Assistant Professor of Political Science at the College of Wooster in Ohio.
PART I: DEVELOPING A MODEL OF THE POST-INTERNAL WAR STATE
Studying the Post-Internal War State
Repression and Accommodation in Post-Internal War States
You Say You Want a Revolution: Selecting Test Cases
PART II: THE CAUSES OF REPRESSION AND ACCOMMODATION IN POST-REVOLUTIONARY STATES
Charting Policy Mix Choices: Event Data and the Historical Process Model
The Use of Repression and Accommodation in Post-Revolutionary States
PART III: THE CONSEQUENCES OF REPRESSION AND ACCOMMODATION IN POST-REVOLUTIONARY STATES
Responding to Revolution: Opposition in Post-Revolutionary States
Sharing the Cake: Political System Development in Post-Revolutionary States
Only the Good Die Young: Political Survival of Revolutionary Elites
PART IV: CONCLUSION
What Is To Be Done?: Concluding Thoughts on Political Dynamics in Post-Revolutionary States
APPENDICES
Survey of Experts on Repression and Accommodation
PIWAR Data Project Coding Sheet
PIWAR Data Project Codebook
Elite Perceptions of Security/Vulnerability
Opposition Activity Coding Instruments
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