The Science and Management of Uncertainty: Dealing with Doubt in Natural Resource Management - Brossura

Marcot, Bruce G.

Brossura

ISBN 10: 036763340X ISBN 13: 9780367633400

Casa editrice: CRC Press, 2020

Riassunto

Uncertainty can take many forms, can be represented in many ways, and can have important implications in decision-making and policy development. This book provides a rigorous scientific framework for dealing with uncertainty in real-world situations, and provides a comprehensive study of concepts, measurements, and applications of uncertainty in ecological modeling and natural resource management.

The focus of this book is on the kinds and implications of uncertainty in environmental modeling and management, with practical guidelines and examples for successful modeling and risk analysis in the face of uncertain conditions and incomplete information. Provided is a clear classification of uncertainty; methods for measuring, modeling, and communicating uncertainty; practical guidelines for capturing and representing expert knowledge and judgment; explanations of the role of uncertainty in decision-making; a guideline to avoiding logical fallacies when dealing with uncertainty; and several example cases of real-world ecological modeling and risk analysis to illustrate the concepts and approaches.

Case topics provide examples of structured decision-making, statistical modeling, and related topics. A summary provides practical next steps that the reader can take in analyzing and interpreting uncertainty in real-world situations. Also provided is a glossary and a suite of references.

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Informazioni sull'autore

Bruce G. Marcot is a Research Wildlife Biologist with the U.S. Forest Service. He received his Ph.D. from Oregon State University in 1984. His expertise is in ecology and conservation of rare and at-risk species, probabilistic modeling, and application of risk analysis and decision science in conservation. His many international studies include impacts of climate change on wildlife biota, movement dynamics of organisms, and causal modeling of environmental stressors.

Dalla quarta di copertina

This book provides a rigorous scientific framework for dealing with uncertainty in real-world situations, and provides a comprehensive study of concepts, measurements, and applications of uncertainty in ecological modeling and natural resource management.

Dettagli dell'edizione

• Editore: CRC Press
• Data di pubblicazione: 2020
• Lingua: Inglese
• ISBN 10: 036763340X
• ISBN 13: 9780367633400
• Rilegatura: Copertina flessibile
• Numero edizione: 1
• Numero di pagine: 278
• Contatto del produttore: Taylor and Francis, GPSR Taylor and Francis; gpsr@taylorandfrancis.com; ; Taylor & Francis Verlag GmbH, Kaufingerstraße 24; München; 80331; Germania