Articoli correlati a Readings In Decision Analysis
Sinossi
Readings in Decision Analysis conveys the purpose of decision analysis and the interpretation that should be placed upon its output- vital topics seldom discussed in introductory texts. The author's extensive notes and commentary weave into a coherent whole extracts from the Journal of the Operational Research Society and other publications. Intended for the non-technical reader, this book is ideal for undergraduate and postgraduate students in operations research, business studies, statistics, economics, and management.
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Contenuti
Preface
Foreword
Part 1: Introduction: Preamble
The Rev Counter Decision, P.G. Moore and H. Thomas
Decision Analysis and Operational Research
Part 2: The Theory: Decision Tables and Decision Trees
Subjective Probabiliy and Bayes Theorem
Utility Theory
Multi-Attribute Utility Theory
Part 3: Case Studies: Introduction
Marketing a New Product, D.W. Beattie
Balancing the Failure Modes in the Electronic Circuit of a Cardiac Pacemaker: A Decision Analysis, B. Ronen, J.S. Pliskin, and S. Feldman
A Multi-Objective Decision Analysis: Budget Planning for Product Engineering, D.L. Keefer and C.W. Kirkwood
Decision Analysis for the Evaluation of Risk in Nuclear Waste Management, J.W. Lathrop and S.R. Watson
Requisite Decision Modelling: A Case Study, L.D. Phillips
The Use of a Simple Multiple-Criteria Model to Assist in Selection from a Shortlist, V. Belton
Part 4: Thinking and Sharing Perceptions: A Collection of 'Viewpoints,' K.D. Tocher, R.H. Adelson, S. French, R. Hartley, L.C. Thomas, and D.J. White
What is a Normative Analysis?
From Decision Theory to Decision Analysis, S. French
Group Decision Making and Decision Conferencing
Subjective Aspects of the Art of Decision Analysis: Exploring the Role of Decision Analysis in Decision Structuring, Decision Support and Policy Dialogue, H. Thomas and D. Samson
Further Reading
References
Index
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