This book demystifies risk analysis and enables decision makers to improve the quality of their judgements by providing more realistic information on which to base decisions. With a practical approach, minimising jargon, mathematics and academic references, the author provides practitioners with clear descriptions of the nature of risk and risk attitude. He also describes techniques of analysis and assesses their strengths and weaknesses.
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Introduction: Risks and uncertainties in projects. The purpose of this book. Risk and uncertainty: definitions. Risk exposure and risk attitude. Risk in projects. Overview of risk management. Risk analysis: advantages and limitations. Summary.
Understanding probabilities. Introduction. Probability. Personal probabilities. Joint and compound probability. Expected monetary value (EMV). Summary.
Estimating and forecasting: psychological aspects. Introduction. Rules of thumb. Personal biases. Reporting biases. Conclusions. Summary.
Risk Attitude. Introduction. Risk attitude in gambling: `card counting'. Risk attitude and utility theory. The allais paradox. Risk attitude: practical implications. Conclusions. Summary. Measuring risk exposure: techniques of risk analysis. Introduction. Techniques. Assessment of techniques. Summary.
Case histories and worked examples. Introduction. The GK construction co. A transport infrastructure investment appraisal. An underground rail tunnel using MERA. South China land reclamation. A bridge over the Thames.
Software for risk analysis. Introduction. The role of software in risk analysis. How to approach the software market.
Good practice in risk management. Introduction. Human factors. Key points of good practice. Conclusions.
References. Further Reading. Index.
Book by Raftery J
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Da: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, Regno Unito
Paperback. Condizione: Very Good. This book demystifies risk analysis and enables decision makers to improve the quality of their judgements by providing more realistic information on which to base decisions. With a practical approach, minimising jargon, mathematics and academic references, the author provides practitioners with clear descriptions of the nature of risk and risk attitude. He also describes techniques of analysis and assesses their strengths and weaknesses. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged. Codice articolo GOR002286325
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Da: AwesomeBooks, Wallingford, Regno Unito
Condizione: Very Good. This book is in very good condition and will be shipped within 24 hours of ordering. The cover may have some limited signs of wear but the pages are clean, intact and the spine remains undamaged. This book has clearly been well maintained and looked after thus far. Money back guarantee if you are not satisfied. See all our books here, order more than 1 book and get discounted shipping. . Codice articolo 7719-9780419184201
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Da: Anybook.com, Lincoln, Regno Unito
Condizione: Poor. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has soft covers. In poor condition, suitable as a reading copy. Please note the Image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item,400grams, ISBN:9780419184201. Codice articolo 9223457
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Da: Anybook.com, Lincoln, Regno Unito
Condizione: Fair. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has soft covers. In fair condition, suitable as a study copy. Please note the Image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item,450grams, ISBN:9780419184201. Codice articolo 9223456
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Da: Bahamut Media, Reading, Regno Unito
Condizione: Very Good. Shipped within 24 hours from our UK warehouse. Clean, undamaged book with no damage to pages and minimal wear to the cover. Spine still tight, in very good condition. Remember if you are not happy, you are covered by our 100% money back guarantee. Codice articolo 6545-9780419184201
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Da: Antártica, Madrid, M, Spagna
Rustica (tapa blanda). Condizione: Aceptable. Condizione sovraccoperta: Aceptable. 1. Rústica, 143 pp. Ejemplar expurgo de biblioteca; sello y tejuelo. Buen estado sin otras marcas de uso. LIBRO. Codice articolo 1471944
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