This book demystifies risk analysis and enables decision makers to improve the quality of their judgements by providing more realistic information on which to base decisions. With a practical approach, minimising jargon, mathematics and academic references, the author provides practitioners with clear descriptions of the nature of risk and risk attitude. He also describes techniques of analysis and assesses their strengths and weaknesses.
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Introduction: Risks and uncertainties in projects. The purpose of this book. Risk and uncertainty: definitions. Risk exposure and risk attitude. Risk in projects. Overview of risk management. Risk analysis: advantages and limitations. Summary.
Understanding probabilities. Introduction. Probability. Personal probabilities. Joint and compound probability. Expected monetary value (EMV). Summary.
Estimating and forecasting: psychological aspects. Introduction. Rules of thumb. Personal biases. Reporting biases. Conclusions. Summary.
Risk Attitude. Introduction. Risk attitude in gambling: `card counting'. Risk attitude and utility theory. The allais paradox. Risk attitude: practical implications. Conclusions. Summary. Measuring risk exposure: techniques of risk analysis. Introduction. Techniques. Assessment of techniques. Summary.
Case histories and worked examples. Introduction. The GK construction co. A transport infrastructure investment appraisal. An underground rail tunnel using MERA. South China land reclamation. A bridge over the Thames.
Software for risk analysis. Introduction. The role of software in risk analysis. How to approach the software market.
Good practice in risk management. Introduction. Human factors. Key points of good practice. Conclusions.
References. Further Reading. Index.
Book by Raftery J
Le informazioni nella sezione "Su questo libro" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.
Da: Anybook.com, Lincoln, Regno Unito
Condizione: Poor. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has soft covers. In poor condition, suitable as a reading copy. Please note the Image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item,400grams, ISBN:9780419184201. Codice articolo 9223457
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Condizione: Fair. This is an ex-library book and may have the usual library/used-book markings inside.This book has soft covers. In fair condition, suitable as a study copy. Please note the Image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item,450grams, ISBN:9780419184201. Codice articolo 9223456
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