This book explores how empirical analysis has, can, and should be used to evaluate formal models in political science.
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At present much of political science consists of a large body of formal theoretical work that remains largely unexplored empirically and an expanding use of sophisticated statistical techniques. This book explores how empirical analysis has, can, and should be used to evaluate formal models in political science. These developments, if combined, are potentially a basis for a new revolution in political science.
Part I. Introduction: 1. Political science's dilemma; Part II. Formal Models in Political Science: 2. What makes a model formal?; 3. The variety of formal models; Part III. Empirical Evaluation of Formal Models: 4. Fundamentals of empirical evaluation; 5. Evaluating assumptions; 6. Evaluating predictions: equilibria, disequilibria, and multiequilibria; 7. Evaluating relationship predictions; 8. Evaluating alternative models; Part IV. A Second Revolution: 9. The present and the future; 10. References.
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