Predictability and Nonlinear Modelling in Natural Sciences and Economics - Rilegato

 
9780792329435: Predictability and Nonlinear Modelling in Natural Sciences and Economics

Sinossi

Researchers in the natural sciences are faced with problems that require a novel approach to improve the quality of forecasts of processes that are sensitive to environmental conditions. Nonlinearity of a system may significantly complicate the predictability of future states: a small variation of parameters can dramatically change the dynamics, while sensitive dependence of the initial state may severely limit the predictability horizon. Uncertainties also play a role. This volume addresses such problems by using tools from chaos theory and systems theory, adapted for the analysis of problems in the environmental sciences. Sensitive dependence on the initial state (chaos) and the parameters are analyzed using methods such as Lyapunov exponents and Monte Carlo simulation. Uncertainty in the structure and the values of parameters of a model is studied in relation to processes that depend on the environmental conditions. These methods also apply to biology and economics. This text aims to be suitable for research workers at universities and (semi-) governmental institutes for the environment, agriculture, ecology, meteorology and water management, and theoretical economists.

Le informazioni nella sezione "Riassunto" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.

Contenuti

Introduction. 1: Geophysics. 2: Agriculture. 3: Population Biology. 4: Systems Sciences. 5: Environmental Sciences. 6: Economics. Subject Index.

Product Description

Book by None

Le informazioni nella sezione "Su questo libro" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.

Altre edizioni note dello stesso titolo

9789401044165: Predictability and Nonlinear Modelling in Natural Sciences and Economics

Edizione in evidenza

ISBN 10:  9401044163 ISBN 13:  9789401044165
Casa editrice: Springer, 2012
Brossura