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9780852004593: Influenza Models: Prospects for Development and Use

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Kilbourne (1973) described the student of influenza as "continually looking back over his shoulder and asking 'what happened?', in the hope that understanding of past events will alert him to the catastrophies ofthe future". Experience suggests the futility of such a hope, since the most predictable feature of influenza is its unpredictability. Nonetheless, the stubborn viabil ity of this hope is strongly affirmed by the many attempts, described and discussed in this volume, to develop a useful and practical representation of influenza virus behavior. I hasten to add, however, that the desired model has yet to be perfected. The existence and usefulness of animal models of infectious diseases of man are well documented. Reproduction of disease by infecting an experimental animal satisfies the third of Koch's four postulates to establish proof of disease causation by a specific bacterium. Animal models also have been extremely useful in studies of the pathogenesis, immunoprophylaxis, and specific therapy of several important diseases, ineluding (with only modest success) influenza. Development of such a model is simple, at least in concept. and can be achieved by one or only a few scientists.

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Contenuti

Background paper: Applications of mathematical models to the epidemiology of influenza: a critique.- I. The epidemiology of influenza key facts and remaining problems.- Discussion.- II. Models of the temporal spread of epidemics.- Discussion.- III. Models of family and small community spread.- Discussion.- IV. Relationship of parameters to the real world.- Discussion.- V. Herd immunity.- Discussion.- VI. Models of geographic spread.- Discussion.- VII. Intervention models and vaccine strategy.- Discussion.- VIII. Recommendations.- Participants.

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259 pages Original 1st ed. 1982...
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9789401180528: Influenza Models: Prospects for Development and Use

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ISBN 10:  9401180520 ISBN 13:  9789401180528
Casa editrice: Springer, 2012
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Philip Selby
Editore: Springer, 1982
ISBN 10: 0852004591 ISBN 13: 9780852004593
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Da: Roland Antiquariat UG haftungsbeschränkt, Weinheim, Germania

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Hardcover, 21.2 x 15 x 2 cm. 259 pages Original 1st ed. 1982 ! Very good condition. Retired library exemplar with usual stamps/ stickers. Reading pages are very clean. --- Guter Zustand. Leseseiten sind sehr sauber und ohne Markierungen. Ausgeschiedenes Bibliotheksexemplar mit entsprechender Kennzeichnung und leichten Lagerspuren. Ansonsten sehr gutes und ordentliches Exemplar. 9780852004593 Sprache: Englisch Gewicht in Gramm: 481. Codice articolo 185470

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Selby, Philip; Sandoz Institute for Health and Socio-Economic Studies, The
ISBN 10: 0852004591 ISBN 13: 9780852004593
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Hardcover. Condizione: Very Good. No Jacket. First Edition. Hardcover 1st edition in Very Good condition. Bumped corners; otherwise Like New condition. The covers are in great shape. The binding is square. Small abrasion to the front flyleaf. The interior pages are clean and unmarked. The book will be carefully packaged for shipment for protection from the elements. USPS electronic tracking number issued free of charge. Kilbourne (1973) described the student of influenza as "continually looking back over his shoulder and asking 'what happened?', in the hope that understanding of past events will alert him to the catastrophies of the future". Experience suggests the futility of such a hope, since the most predictable feature of influenza is its unpredictability. Nonetheless, the stubborn viability of this hope is strongly affirmed by the many attempts, described and discussed in this volume, to develop a useful and practical representation of influenza virus behavior. I hasten to add, however, that the desired model has yet to be perfected. The existence and usefulness of animal models of infectious diseases of man are well documented. Reproduction of disease by infecting an experimental animal satisfies the third of Koch's four postulates to establish proof of disease causation by a specific bacterium. Animal models also have been extremely useful in studies of the pathogenesis, immunoprophylaxis, and specific therapy of several important diseases, ineluding (with only modest success) influenza. Development of such a model is simple, at least in concept. and can be achieved by one or only a few scientists. Codice articolo 15312

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