Sinossi
Takes the reader step by step through the techniques of eliciting and analyzing expert judgment,
Le informazioni nella sezione "Riassunto" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.
Descrizione del libro
Takes the reader step by step through the techniques of eliciting and analyzing expert judgment, with special attention given to helping the reader develop elicitation methods and tools adaptable to a variety of unique situations and work areas.
Contenuti
Preface to ASA-SIAM Edition; Preface; List of Figures; List of Tables; List of Examples; Part I. Introduction to Expert Judgment. 1. Introduction; 2. Common Questions and Pitfalls Concerning Expert Judgment; 3. Background on Human Problem Solving and Bias; Part II. Elicitation Procedures. 4. Selecting the Question Areas and Questions; 5. Refining the Questions; 6. Selecting and Motivating the Experts; 7. Selecting the Components of Elicitation; 8. Designing and Tailoring the Elicitation; 9. Practicing the Elicitation and Training the Project Personnel; 10. Conducting the Elicitation; Part III. Analysis Procedures. 11. Introducing the Techniques for Analysis of Expert Judgment Data; 12. Initial Look at the Data_The First Analyses; 13. Understanding the Data Base Structure; 14. Correlation and Bias Detection; 15. Model Formation; 16. Combining Responses_Aggregation; 17. Characterizing Uncertainties; 18. Making Inferences; Appendix A. SAATY; Appendix B. MCBETA; Appendix C. EMPIRICAL; Appendix D. BOOT; Glossary of Expert Judgment Terms; References; Index.
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Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment: A Practical Guide (ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, Series Number 7)
Editore:
Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 1987
ISBN 10: 0898714745
ISBN 13: 9780898714746
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Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment: A Practical Guide (ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, Series Number 7)
Editore:
Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 1987
ISBN 10: 0898714745
ISBN 13: 9780898714746
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Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment
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Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics (SIAM), 1987
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ISBN 13: 9780898714746
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Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment: A Practical Guide: Series Number 7 (ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, Series Number 7)
Editore:
Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 1987
ISBN 10: 0898714745
ISBN 13: 9780898714746
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Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgement: A Practical Guide
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Society for Industrial & Applied Mathematics,U.S., 1987
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ISBN 13: 9780898714746
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Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgement A Practical Guide
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Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgement
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Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics,U.S., US, 2001
ISBN 10: 0898714745
ISBN 13: 9780898714746
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Hardback. Condizione: New. Expert judgment is invaluable for assessing products, systems, and situations for which measurements or test results are sparse or nonexistent. This book takes the reader step by step through the techniques of eliciting and analyzing expert judgment, with special attention given to helping the reader develop elicitation methods and tools adaptable to a variety of unique situations and work areas.The analysis procedures presented in the book may require a basic understanding of statistics and probabilities, but the authors have provided detailed explanations of the techniques used and have taken special care to define all statistical jargon.Originally published in 1991, this book is designed so that those familiar with the use of expert judgment can quickly find the material appropriate for their advanced background. Newcomers will be eased into the topic by special chapters explaining what expert judgment is and how it can be used, an introduction to statistical techniques and notation, definitions for statistical terms, and a separate glossary of expert judgment terms.People in industry, government, and academia are aware that they must capture their expertise, as well as access and update it in electronic repositories (knowledge systems), if they are to preserve their chief assets and competitive edge. This book provides a shortcut to creating these knowledge systems.The innovative methodology PREDICT (Performance and Reliability Evaluation from Diverse Information, Combination, and Tracking) is used to predict the performance of a complex system undergoing change. This book provides PREDICT users with guidance on how to elicit and analyze expert judgment, including the associated uncertainty. Expert judgment is an important source of information when test data is not available. Codice articolo LU-9780898714746
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Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment: A Practical Guide: Series Number 7 (ASA-SIAM Series on Statistics and Applied Probability, Series Number 7)
Editore:
Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 1987
ISBN 10: 0898714745
ISBN 13: 9780898714746
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Condizione: New. 1987. Reprint. hardcover. . . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland. Codice articolo V9780898714746
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Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment
Editore:
Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics,U.S., US, 1987
ISBN 10: 0898714745
ISBN 13: 9780898714746
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Da: Rarewaves.com UK, London, Regno Unito
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Hardback. Condizione: New. Expert judgment is invaluable for assessing products, systems, and situations for which measurements or test results are sparse or nonexistent. Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment: A Practical Guide takes the reader step by step through the techniques of eliciting and analyzing expert judgment, with special attention given to helping the reader develop elicitation methods and tools adaptable to a variety of unique situations and work areas. The analysis procedures presented in the book may require a basic understanding of statistics and probabilities, but the authors have provided detailed explanations of the techniques used and have taken special care to define all statistical jargon. Originally published in 1991, this book is designed so that those familiar with the use of expert judgment can quickly find the material appropriate for their advanced background. Codice articolo LU-9780898714746
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