Eliciting and Analyzing Expert Judgment: A Practical Guide - Rilegato

Meyer, Mary A.; Booker, Jane M.

Rilegato

ISBN 10: 0898714745 ISBN 13: 9780898714746

Casa editrice: Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics, 1987

Riassunto

Takes the reader step by step through the techniques of eliciting and analyzing expert judgment,

Su questo libro

Descrizione del libro

Takes the reader step by step through the techniques of eliciting and analyzing expert judgment, with special attention given to helping the reader develop elicitation methods and tools adaptable to a variety of unique situations and work areas.

Contenuti

Preface to ASA-SIAM Edition; Preface; List of Figures; List of Tables; List of Examples; Part I. Introduction to Expert Judgment. 1. Introduction; 2. Common Questions and Pitfalls Concerning Expert Judgment; 3. Background on Human Problem Solving and Bias; Part II. Elicitation Procedures. 4. Selecting the Question Areas and Questions; 5. Refining the Questions; 6. Selecting and Motivating the Experts; 7. Selecting the Components of Elicitation; 8. Designing and Tailoring the Elicitation; 9. Practicing the Elicitation and Training the Project Personnel; 10. Conducting the Elicitation; Part III. Analysis Procedures. 11. Introducing the Techniques for Analysis of Expert Judgment Data; 12. Initial Look at the Data_The First Analyses; 13. Understanding the Data Base Structure; 14. Correlation and Bias Detection; 15. Model Formation; 16. Combining Responses_Aggregation; 17. Characterizing Uncertainties; 18. Making Inferences; Appendix A. SAATY; Appendix B. MCBETA; Appendix C. EMPIRICAL; Appendix D. BOOT; Glossary of Expert Judgment Terms; References; Index.

Dettagli dell'edizione

• Editore: Society for Industrial and Applied Mathematics
• Data di pubblicazione: 1987
• Lingua: Inglese
• ISBN 10: 0898714745
• ISBN 13: 9780898714746
• Rilegatura: Copertina rigida
• Numero di pagine: 491
• Contatto del produttore: non disponibile
• Persona responsabile: non disponibile