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How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To - Rilegato
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A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023
'Delightfully clear and vivid to read...A splendid book! Philip Pullman
'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien
'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People
· Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?
· How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?
· Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?
· How do you prevent a nuclear war?
Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?).
For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.
How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct.
Le informazioni nella sezione "Riassunto" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.
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A fascinating exploration of how we can make better, accessible, mathematically-informed predictions about the world around us.
Le informazioni nella sezione "Su questo libro" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.
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How to Expect the Unexpected : The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To
Da: Better World Books Ltd, Dunfermline, Regno Unito
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How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To
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Quercus Publishing, 2023
ISBN 10: 1529408679
ISBN 13: 9781529408676
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How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To
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How to Expect the Unexpected
Editore:
Quercus publishing, 2023
ISBN 10: 1529408679
ISBN 13: 9781529408676
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Da: Bookbot, Prague, Repubblica Ceca
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Hardcover. Condizione: Fine. Leichte Risse. A fascinating exploration of how we can make better, accessible,mathematically-informed predictions about the world around us. Codice articolo 0fbac516-8aea-4f38-aae9-1a4520df74c7
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How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To
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How to Expect the Unexpected
Da: Rarewaves.com UK, London, Regno Unito
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Hardback. Condizione: New. A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023'Delightfully clear and vivid to read.A splendid book! Philip Pullman'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People· Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?· How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?· Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?· How do you prevent a nuclear war?Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?). For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct. Codice articolo LU-9781529408676
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How to Expect the Unexpected
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Hardback. Condizione: New. A Waterstones Best Popular Science Book of 2023'Delightfully clear and vivid to read.A splendid book! Philip Pullman'Absolutely fascinating' James O'Brien'An exceptional book - readable, funny and more needed than ever' Dr Chris van Tulleken, bestselling author of Ultra-Processed People· Are you more likely to become a professional footballer if your surname is Ball?· How can you be one hundred per cent sure you will win a bet?· Why did so many Pompeiians stay put while Mount Vesuvius was erupting?· How do you prevent a nuclear war?Ever since the dawn of human civilisation, we have been trying to make predictions about what's in store for us. We do this on a personal level, so that we can get on with our lives efficiently (should I hang my laundry out to dry, or will it rain?). But we also have to predict on a much larger scale, often for the good of our broader society (how can we spot economic downturns or prevent terrorist attacks?). For just as long, we have been getting it wrong. From religious oracles to weather forecasters, and from politicians to economists, we are subjected to poor predictions all the time. Our job is to separate the good from the bad. Unfortunately, the foibles of our own biology - the biases that ultimately make us human - can let us down when it comes to making rational inferences about the world around us. And that can have disastrous consequences.How to Expect the Unexpected will teach you how and why predictions go wrong, help you to spot phony forecasts and give you a better chance of getting your own predictions correct. Codice articolo LU-9781529408676
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How to Expect the Unexpected
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HOW TO EXPECT THE UNEXPECTED
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Condizione: NEW. Codice articolo NW9781529408676
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How to Expect the Unexpected: The Science of Making Predictions and the Art of Knowing When Not To
Da: Kennys Bookstore, Olney, MD, U.S.A.
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Condizione: New. 2023. Hardcover. . . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland. Codice articolo V9781529408676
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