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The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes: A Concise Summary of Nate Silver's Bestselling Book - Brossura

 
9781623150525: The Signal and the Noise in 30 Minutes: A Concise Summary of Nate Silver's Bestselling Book

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The Signal and the Noise ...in 30 Minutes is your guide to quickly understanding the important lessons in Nate Silver's best-selling book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't. In The Signal and the Noise, influential political forecaster Nate Silver narrows down what makes a good prediction, and why predictions even from the experts are often wrong. Nate Silver became a household name during the 2012 U.S. presidential election, and has gained renown for his accurate baseball predictions. In this innovative and exciting book, he uses probability, statistics, and a down-to-earth approach to explain how to distinguish the truth (the signal) from all the other distractions or assumptions (the noise), and make the best possible choices. The lessons in The Signal and the Noise will give you an edge in everything from choosing stocks to predicting world politics to making personal changes in light of climate change. Use this helpful guide to understand The Signal and the Noise in a fraction of the time, with tools such as: Insights into Nate Silver's journey from forecasting Major League Baseball players' performances to predicting the outcome of U.S. presidential elections Praise for and critical reactions to Silver's ideas, from such noted sources as the New York Review of Books and the Wall Street Journal Explanations of the key concepts, including analyzing prediction failures, practicing Bayesian thinking, and expanding self-awareness Easy-to-understand definitions and examples of key terms, such as Bayes's theorem Recommended readings and a bibliography listing additional resources analyzing Silver's work and the phenomenon of big data As with all books in the 30 Minute Expert Series, this book is intended to be purchased alongside the reviewed title, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail—but Some Don't.

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30 Minute Expert Summaries
Editore: Callisto, 2012
ISBN 10: 1623150523 ISBN 13: 9781623150525
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Da: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, Regno Unito

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Paperback. Condizione: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged. Codice articolo GOR005448161

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The 30 Minute Expert Series
Editore: Garamond Press, 2012
ISBN 10: 1623150523 ISBN 13: 9781623150525
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Da: Wonder Book, Frederick, MD, U.S.A.

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Condizione: Very Good. Very Good condition. A copy that may have a few cosmetic defects. May also contain light spine creasing or a few markings such as an owner's name, short gifter's inscription or light stamp. Bundled media such as CDs, DVDs, floppy disks or access codes may not be included. Codice articolo R03O-00313

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The 30 Minute Expert Series
Editore: Garamond, 2012
ISBN 10: 1623150523 ISBN 13: 9781623150525
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Da: Library House Internet Sales, Grand Rapids, OH, U.S.A.

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Softcover. Condizione: Good. No Jacket. The Signal and the Noise %u2026in 30 Minutes is the essential guide to quickly understanding the fundamental components of prediction outlined in Nate Silver%u2019s bestselling book, The Signal and the Noise: Why So Many Predictions Fail ¬%u2013 but Some Don%u2019t. In The Signal and the Noise bestselling author, political analyst, and statistician Nate Silver investigates the fundamentals of forecasting and answers why too much information can be misleading. Exploring a variety of fields, ranging from politics to poker to Wall Street and global warming, Silver explores why some forecasts are successful and, perhaps more telling, why so many fail. Stressing the importance of acknowledging personal bias, Silver posits that better forecasters possess a superior understanding of uncertainty and are driven by truth and humility while overconfidence can lead to failure. Presenting a framework for what constitutes a good forecast, Silver provides insight and tools for understanding how to successfully utilize Big Data and decipher meaningful signals from random noise. Please note the image in this listing is a stock photo and may not match the covers of the actual item. Book. Codice articolo 123653949

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