Sinossi
Whether it’s an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result, or an expectedbarbecue season that sees record rainfall, forecasts have impacts on us all. Forewarned is a consumer’s guide to prediction, based on the very latest scientific research. By the end of the book you’ll be better placed to make informed decisions in a volatile world. You’ll know when forecasts can be a reliable guide to the vicissitudes and uncertainties of the future - and when they are best ignored.
Le informazioni nella sezione "Riassunto" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.
Informazioni sull?autore
Paul Goodwin is an Emeritus Professor at the University of Bath, where he taught and researched forecasting and decision making. He has a PhD from Lancaster University and an MSc from Warwick University and he has acted as a consultant to both leading companies and government departments. In 2013 he was elected as an Honorary Fellow of the International Institute of Forecasters in recognition of his contribution to forecasting.
Le informazioni nella sezione "Su questo libro" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.
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Forewarned: A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction
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Biteback Publishing, 2018
ISBN 10: 1785902229
ISBN 13: 9781785902222
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Forewarned: A Sceptics Guide to Prediction
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ISBN 10: 1785902229
ISBN 13: 9781785902222
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Paperback. Condizione: Very Good. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged. Codice articolo GOR008608772
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Forewarned : A Sceptic's Guide to Prediction
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ISBN 10: 1785902229
ISBN 13: 9781785902222
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Forewarned
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Paperback. Condizione: New. Whether it's an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result or a washout summer that threatens to ruin a holiday in the sun, forecasts are part and parcel of our everyday lives. We rely wholeheartedly on them, and become outraged when things don't go exactly to plan. But should we really put so much trust in predictions? Perhaps gut instincts can trump years of methodically compiled expert knowledge? And when exactly is a forecast not a forecast? Forewarned will answer all of these intriguing questions, and many more. Packed with fun anecdotes and startling facts, Forewarned is a myth-busting guide to prediction, based on the very latest scientific research. It lays out the many ways forecasting can help us make better decisions in an unpredictable modern world, and reveals when forecasts can be a reliable guide to the uncertainties of the future - and when they are best ignored. Codice articolo LU-9781785902222
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Forewarned
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Paperback. Condizione: New. Whether it's an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result or a washout summer that threatens to ruin a holiday in the sun, forecasts are part and parcel of our everyday lives. We rely wholeheartedly on them, and become outraged when things don't go exactly to plan. But should we really put so much trust in predictions? Perhaps gut instincts can trump years of methodically compiled expert knowledge? And when exactly is a forecast not a forecast? Forewarned will answer all of these intriguing questions, and many more. Packed with fun anecdotes and startling facts, Forewarned is a myth-busting guide to prediction, based on the very latest scientific research. It lays out the many ways forecasting can help us make better decisions in an unpredictable modern world, and reveals when forecasts can be a reliable guide to the uncertainties of the future - and when they are best ignored. Codice articolo LU-9781785902222
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Forewarned (Paperback)
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Biteback Publishing, London, 2017
ISBN 10: 1785902229
ISBN 13: 9781785902222
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Paperback. Condizione: new. Paperback. Whether it's an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result or an expected barbecue season that sees record rainfall, forecasts have impacts on us all. But do forecasters tell you all that they know or what they really believe?When is your gut feeling likely to be better than a computer's prediction? Can you accurately predict your own emotional reaction to future events like a new job or a new house? And when is a 'forecast' not a forecast? Covering a wide range of topics, from business to politics, sport and lotteries, to that old perennial, the weather, Forewarned can be seen as a consumer's guide to prediction, based on the very latest scientific research. By the end of the book you'll be better placed to make informed decisions in a volatile world. You'll know when forecasts can be a reliable guide to the vicissitudes and uncertainties of the future, and when they are best ignored. Whether it's an unforeseen financial crash, a shock election result or an expected barbecue season that sees record rainfall, forecasts have impacts on us all. But do forecasters tell you all that they know or what they really believe? Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability. Codice articolo 9781785902222
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Forewarned: A Sceptics Guide to Prediction
Editore:
Biteback Publishing, 2017
ISBN 10: 1785902229
ISBN 13: 9781785902222
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