Developments in Demographic Forecasting: 49 - Brossura

Brossura

ISBN 10: 303042474X ISBN 13: 9783030424749

Casa editrice: Springer, 2021

Riassunto

This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.

Su questo libro

Informazioni sull?autore

Stefano Mazzuco is an Associate Professor in Demography at the Department of Statistical Sciences in the University of Padova, teaching both Demography and Statistics. He has also been a member of the PhD School in Statistics Board. He he has collaborated with the World Health Organisation (WHO) on the field of health inequality and its costs. He also has research interests in mortality pattern modelling, mainly focusing on age of death distribution modelling.

Nico Keilman is Professor of Demography at the Department of Economics, University of Oslo. He has taught Demography, Statistics, and Econometrics and has held research positions at Statistics Netherlands, the Netherlands Interdisciplinary Demographic Institute, and Statistics Norway. He has more than forty years of research experience in the fields of population forecasting, modelling marriage and household dynamics, and mathematical demography. He was the editor of Demographic Research (2006-2011), and is member of the editorial boards of European Studies of Population, Population (Paris) and Demografie (Praha).

Dalla quarta di copertina

This open access book presents new developments in the field of demographic forecasting, covering both mortality, fertility and migration. For each component emerging methods to forecast them are presented. Moreover, instruments for forecasting evaluation are provided. Bayesian models, nonparametric models, cohort approaches, elicitation of expert opinion, evaluation of probabilistic forecasts are some of the topics covered in the book. In addition, the book is accompanied by complementary material on the web allowing readers to practice with some of the ideas exposed in the book. Readers are encouraged to use this material to apply the new methods to their own data. The book is an important read for demographers, applied statisticians, as well as other social scientists interested or active in the field of population forecasting. Professional population forecasters in statistical agencies will find useful new ideas in various chapters.

Dettagli dell'edizione

• Editore: Springer
• Data di pubblicazione: 2021
• Lingua: Inglese
• ISBN 10: 303042474X
• ISBN 13: 9783030424749
• Rilegatura: Copertina flessibile
• Numero edizione: 1
• Numero di pagine: 268
• Redattore: Mazzuco Stefano, Keilman Nico
• Contatto del produttore: non disponibile
• Persona responsabile: CMN Printpool Inh. Mathis Neumann; https://www.also.com/ec/cms5/en_6000/6000/index.jsp; ; Friedrich-Karl-Str. 9; Hamburg; Germania