Sinossi
This study was carried out at Risø DTU (Denmark) during summer 2010 and was presented at the University of Barcelona (Spain) in July 2011 as the thesis of the Master in Meteorology. The main objective of this research work was to develop a statistical treatment to post-process Numerical Weather Predictions (NWP) outputs in order to improve short-term wind power forecasts. The proposed method is a Model Output Statistics (MOS) based on a multiple linear regression that screens the most relevant NWP forecast variables and selects best predictors, utilizing wind farm power output measurements as input. The proposed MOS performed well in the 2 studied wind farms. Its forecasts compare positively with actual operative model in use at Risø DTU and other MOS types, showing minimum BIAS and improving NWP power forecast of around 15% in terms of root mean square error.
Le informazioni nella sezione "Riassunto" possono far riferimento a edizioni diverse di questo titolo.
Informazioni sull?autore
Matteo Ranaboldo is an Environmental Engineer from the Politecnico di Torino. He has obtained 2 Master degrees (Energy Engineering and Meteorology) by the Universitat Politècnica de Catalunya and the Universitat de Barcelona. Recently his research has been focussing on the design of rural electrification projects through wind and solar energies.
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Multiple Linear Regression Mos for Short-Term Wind Power Forecast
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Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -This study was carried out at Risø DTU (Denmark) during summer 2010 and was presented at the University of Barcelona (Spain) in July 2011 as the thesis of the Master in Meteorology. The main objective of this research work was to develop a statistical treatment to post-process Numerical Weather Predictions (NWP) outputs in order to improve short-term wind power forecasts. The proposed method is a Model Output Statistics (MOS) based on a multiple linear regression that screens the most relevant NWP forecast variables and selects best predictors, utilizing wind farm power output measurements as input. The proposed MOS performed well in the 2 studied wind farms. Its forecasts compare positively with actual operative model in use at Risø DTU and other MOS types, showing minimum BIAS and improving NWP power forecast of around 15% in terms of root mean square error. 52 pp. Englisch. Codice articolo 9783659436048
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Multiple Linear Regression Mos for Short-Term Wind Power Forecast
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VDM Verlag Dr. Mueller Aktiengesellschaft & Co. KG, 2013
ISBN 10: 3659436046
ISBN 13: 9783659436048
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Multiple Linear Regression Mos for Short-Term Wind Power Forecast
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Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. Neuware -This study was carried out at Risø DTU (Denmark) during summer 2010 and was presented at the University of Barcelona (Spain) in July 2011 as the thesis of the Master in Meteorology. The main objective of this research work was to develop a statistical treatment to post-process Numerical Weather Predictions (NWP) outputs in order to improve short-term wind power forecasts. The proposed method is a Model Output Statistics (MOS) based on a multiple linear regression that screens the most relevant NWP forecast variables and selects best predictors, utilizing wind farm power output measurements as input. The proposed MOS performed well in the 2 studied wind farms. Its forecasts compare positively with actual operative model in use at Risø DTU and other MOS types, showing minimum BIAS and improving NWP power forecast of around 15% in terms of root mean square error.Books on Demand GmbH, Überseering 33, 22297 Hamburg 52 pp. Englisch. Codice articolo 9783659436048
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Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - This study was carried out at Risø DTU (Denmark) during summer 2010 and was presented at the University of Barcelona (Spain) in July 2011 as the thesis of the Master in Meteorology. The main objective of this research work was to develop a statistical treatment to post-process Numerical Weather Predictions (NWP) outputs in order to improve short-term wind power forecasts. The proposed method is a Model Output Statistics (MOS) based on a multiple linear regression that screens the most relevant NWP forecast variables and selects best predictors, utilizing wind farm power output measurements as input. The proposed MOS performed well in the 2 studied wind farms. Its forecasts compare positively with actual operative model in use at Risø DTU and other MOS types, showing minimum BIAS and improving NWP power forecast of around 15% in terms of root mean square error. Codice articolo 9783659436048
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Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. Multiple linear regression MOS for short-term wind power forecast | Matteo Ranaboldo | Taschenbuch | 52 S. | Englisch | 2013 | LAP LAMBERT Academic Publishing | EAN 9783659436048 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: BoD - Books on Demand, In de Tarpen 42, 22848 Norderstedt, info[at]bod[dot]de | Anbieter: preigu. Codice articolo 105592176
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