Toward Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria (Directions in Development - Countries and Regions). Questo articolo non è disponibile.Toward Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria (Directions in Development - Countries and Regions)

If not addressed in time, climate change is expected to exacerbate Nigeria’s current vulnerability toweather swings and limit its ability to achieve and sustain the objectives of Vision 20: 2020. But there is alot that can be done, starting now, to avoid such a damaging outcome. This is the overarching message ofToward Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria.The likely impacts of climate change include the following:• Long-term reduction in crop yields of 20–30 percent• Declining productivity of livestock, with adverse consequences on livelihoods and pastoralism• Large increases in food imports• Worsening prospects for food security, particularly in the north and the southwest• Long-term decline in GDP of up to 4.5 percentThe impacts may be worse if economic diversification away from agriculture happens more slowly thananticipated by Vision 20: 2020, or if there is too little irrigation to counter the effects of rising temperatureson rain-fed agriculture. Equally important, the study argues that investment decisions made on the basisof historical climate data may end up being wrong: projects that ignore climate change may be under- orover-designed, with economic losses of 20-40 percent of capital invested in irrigation or hydropowerprojects.For the past two years, the Federal Government of Nigeria and the World Bank have collaborated to analyzethe specific challenges posed by climate change in agriculture and water resources management, with aview to identifying viable solutions for adaptation. This effort has brought together participants fromgovernment, academia, the private sector, and civil society.Toward Climate-Resilient Development in Nigeria spells out the technological and management optionsavailable to Nigeria for achieving climate resilience. In particular, the book explores—a first not just forNigeria but also for Sub-Saharan Africa--the application of a robust decision-making approach toenhance the resilience of key sectors such as irrigation and hydropower.The study proposes 10 practical, short-term priority actions, as well as complementary longer-terminitiatives, that could help to mitigate the threat posed by climate change. Building climate resilience willincreasingly be central to Nigeria’s efforts to achieve the aspirational goals the nation has set for itself inthe Vision 20: 2020 documents. This study provides practical, evidence-based solutions to inform andnurture the debate and inform policy making for sustainable national development.