Estimation of Uncertainty of Wind Energy Predictions

David Zastrau

ISBN 10: 3631718853 / ISBN 13: 9783631718858

Editore: Peter Lang, Peter Lang Mär 2017, 2017

Riguardo questo articolo

Neuware -Currently, a new generation of fuel-efficient ships, which use wind force in addition to conventional propulsion technology, is being developed. This study describes a mathematical method for a probabilistic estimate of the wind propulsion force on a ship route. The method is based on quantile regression, which makes it suitable for various ship routes with variable weather conditions. Furthermore, the author takes different macro weather situations into account for the calculation of the statistical distributions. He validates the results for a multi-purpose carrier, a ship route in the North Atlantic Ocean and archived weather forecasts. It showed that the wind force can be estimated more accurately if the macro weather situation is taken into account properly. 140 pp. Englisch.

Codice articolo 9783631718858

Dati bibliografici

• Titolo: Estimation of Uncertainty of Wind Energy Predictions
• Editore: Peter Lang, Peter Lang Mär 2017
• Data di pubblicazione: 2017
• Lingua: Inglese
• ISBN 10: 3631718853
• ISBN 13: 9783631718858
• Rilegatura: Buch
• Condizione: Neu
• Dimensioni: 216 L x 153 A x 11 P (millimetri) 216 millimetri di larghezza per 153 millimetri di altezza per 11 millimetri di profondità
• Peso: 303 grammi

Descrizione articolo

Riassunto

Currently, a new generation of fuel-efficient ships, which use wind force in addition to conventional propulsion technology, is being developed. This study describes a mathematical method for a probabilistic estimate of the wind propulsion force on a ship route. The method is based on quantile regression, which makes it suitable for various ship routes with variable weather conditions. Furthermore, the author takes different macro weather situations into account for the calculation of the statistical distributions. He validates the results for a multi-purpose carrier, a ship route in the North Atlantic Ocean and archived weather forecasts. It showed that the wind force can be estimated more accurately if the macro weather situation is taken into account properly.

Informazioni sull?autore

David Zastrau studied Computer Science at the University of Bremen where he received his PhD. He researches artificial intelligence, maritime logistics, as well as weather and wave forecast accuracy.