Everything Is Predictable: How Bayes' Remarkable Theorem Explains the

Tom Chivers

1497 valutazioni di Goodreads

Lingua: inglese

Editore: Orion Publishing Co, 2024

1399604031 / 9781399604031

Da: Book Grocer, Tullamarine, VIC, AustraliaBook Grocer

Venditore con 5 stelle

Venditore AbeBooks dal 15 ottobre 2025

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EUR 26,67 spedizione 
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Descrizione dell’articolo da parte del venditore

Tom Chivers, Orion Publishing Co. SHORTLISTED FOR THE ROYAL SOCIETY TRIVEDI SCIENCE BOOK PRIZE 2024 'Fascinating, witty and perspective-shifting' Oliver Burkeman 'A remarkable book about a remarkable theorem' Will Storr 'Witty, lively and best of all, extremely nerdy. I learned a lot and so will you' Tim Harford Thomas Bayes was an eighteenth-century Presbyterian minister and amateur mathematician whose obscure life belied the profound impact of his work. Like most research into probability at the time, his theorem was mainly seen as relevant to games of chance, like dice and cards. But its implications soon became clear. Bayes' theorem helps explain why highly accurate screening tests can lead to false positives, causing unnecessary anxiety for patients. A failure to account for it in court has put innocent people in jail. But its influence goes far beyond practical applications. A cornerstone of rational thought, Bayesian principles are used in modelling and forecasting. 'Superforecasters', a group of expert predictors who outperform CIA analysts, use a Bayesian approach. And many argue that Bayes' theorem is not just a useful tool, but a description of almost everything - that it is the underlying architecture of rationality, and of the human brain. Fusing biography, razor-sharp science communication and intellectual history, Everything Is Predictable is a captivating tour of Bayes' theorem and its impact on modern life. From medical testing to artificial intelligence, Tom Chivers shows how a single compelling idea can have far-reaching consequences. …

Codice articolo 9781399604031

Titolo
Everything Is Predictable: How Bayes' Remarkable Theorem Explains the
Autore
Tom Chivers
Editore
Orion Publishing Co
Anno di pubblicazione
2024
Tipo di libro
Hardback
Rilegatura
Hardback
Lingua
inglese
ISBN 10
1399604031
ISBN 13
9781399604031
Peso dell'articolo
530 grammi
Dimensioni
160

Book Grocer

Tullamarine, VIC, Australia

Venditore con 5 stelle

Venditore AbeBooks dal 15 ottobre 2025

Tariffe di spedizione da Australia a U.S.A.

ArticoloDa 15 a 25 giorni lavorativiDa 15 a 25 giorni lavorativi
Primo articoloEUR 26,67EUR 26,67
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