GVC Reconfiguration Risks and Opportunities for ASEAN Members

Suvannaphakdy, Sithanonxay/ Thao, Pham Thi Phuong

ISBN 10: 981510411X / ISBN 13: 9789815104110

Editore: Iseas Yusof Ishak Inst, 2023

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84 pages. 8.25x5.88x0.80 inches. In Stock. Codice articolo __981510411X

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Titolo: GVC Reconfiguration Risks and ...

Casa editrice: Iseas Yusof Ishak Inst

Data di pubblicazione: 2023

Legatura: Paperback

Condizione: Brand New

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Riassunto:

The COVID-19 pandemic, geopolitical tensions and US-China trade disputes, and the Russia-Ukraine war have increased the risk of global value chain (GVC) disruptions and forced firms to strengthen resilience in their supply chains and operations.

MNCs have diversified suppliers, established new production sites, and shifted production closer to consumers. ASEAN countries are becoming increasingly attractive destinations for foreign investors.

This paper gauges the position of ASEAN in GVCs and assesses the risks and opportunities of GVC reconfiguration for ASEAN countries. ASEAN countries are increasing their participation in GVCs and raising domestic value-added. The relocation of production sites from China to ASEAN countries could enhance their participation in GVCs. Should MNCs increase the concentration of supplier and buyer markets, ASEAN countries could become more vulnerable to external shocks.

In addition, this paper assesses the risk of thirty-five sectors of GVCs in ASEAN countries using value-added trade data from ADB’s multi-region input-output tables (MRIO).

Brunei, Cambodia, Indonesia, Laos, the Philippines and Thailand face significant risks of both supplier and buyer market concentrations. The remaining ASEAN countries face the risk of either supplier market concentration or buyer market concentration.

Any restrictions on the use of intermediate inputs from the US or China to manufacture goods in ASEAN can cause substantial disruption to ASEAN GVCs. The upstream and downstream GVCs in ASEAN countries are dominated by the US, China and Japan.

Extraregional trade integration could be enhanced by linking keysuppliers and buyers in China, the US, and Japan to producers inASEAN countries.

Trade policy measures to strengthen ASEAN GVCs should focus on a faster release of perishable goods and intermediate inputs at border checkpoints, accelerating the cross-border paperless trade reforms, promoting the utilization of rules of origins under RCEP, streamlining non-tariff measures, and digitalizing ASEAN GVCs.

Informazioni sull?autore:

Sithanonxay Suvannaphakdy (Author)
Sithanonxay Suvannaphakdy is Lead Researcher at the ASEAN Studies Centre, ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute, Singapore.

Pham Thi Phuong Thao (Author)
Pham Thi Phuong Thao is Senior Research Officer at the ASEAN Studies Centre, ISEAS – Yusof Ishak Institute, Singapore.