Riassunto:
During the week of September 20-23, 1983, an International Workshop on Interactive Decision Analysis and Interpretative Computer Intelligence was held at the International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis (IIASA) in Laxenburg, Austria. More than fifty scientists representing seventeen coun tries participated. The aim of the Workshop was to review existing approaches to problems involving multiple conflicting objectives, to look at methods and techniques for interactive decision analysis, and to demonstrate theuse of existing interactive decision-support systems. The Workshop was motivated, firstly, by the realization that the rapid development of computers, especially microcomputers, will greatly increase the scope and capabilities of computerized decision-support systems. It is important to explore the potential of these systems for use in handling the complex technological, environmental, economic and social problems thatface the world today. Research in decision-support systems also has another, less tangible but possibly more important, motivation. The development of efficient sys tems for decision support requires a thorough understanding of the dif ferences between the decision-making processes in different nations and cultures. An understanding of the different rationales underlying decision making is not only necessary for the development of efficient decision support systems, but is also an important factor in encouraging inter national understanding and cooperation.
Contenuti:
I. Introductory Lecture.- Interactive Decision Analysis and Interpretative Computer Intelligence.- II. Approaches and Concepts in Interactive Decision Analysis.- DIDASS ― Theory, Implementation and Experiences.- Handling Conflicts in Fuzzy Multiple-Criteria Optimization.- A Game-Theoretic Approach for Multicriteria Decision Making.- The Systems Approach and Contingency View in Managerial Behavior and Management Organization.- Recent Developments in our Approach to Multiple-Criteria Decision Making.- Interactive Structure Design and Simulation of Nonlinear Systems from a Multiobjective Viewpoint Using the Lotka-Volterra Approach.- Hierarchical Model-Oriented System Organization.- III. Methods and Techniques for Interactive Decision Analysis.- Dual Relaxation and Branch-and-Bound Techniques for Multiobjective Optimization.- Levitin-Miljutin-Osmolovskii Conditions for Local Pareto Optimality.- Fuzzy Assessment of Multiattribute Utility Functions.- Interactive Fuzzy Decision Making for Multiobjective Nonlinear Programming Problems.- Satisficing Trade-Off Method for Multiobjective Programming.- On Dialogue Algorithms for Linear and Nonlinear Vector Optimization from the Point of View of Parametric Programming.- Operating Considerations Pertaining to the Interactive Weighted Tchebycheff Procedure.- A Posteriori Trade-Off Analysis in Reference Point Approaches.- A Visual Interactive Method for Solving the Multiple-Criteria Problem.- On the Implementation of the Interactive Surrogate Worth Trade-Off (ISWT) Method.- IV. Applications of Interactive Decision Analysis.- Multicriteria Decision Analysis to Aid Budget Allocation.- Investment and Financial Planning in a General Partnership.- A Multiobjective Expert System for Suppliers of Out-of-the-Money Options.- A Multiple-Layer Model for Economic-Environmental-Energy Policy Analysis.- Simulation of an Interactive Method Supporting Collective Decision Making Using a Regional Development Model.- A Multiobjective Observation Network Design Procedure and its Application in Hydrology and Mining.- Analysis of Regional Water Policies in Open-Cast Mining Areas ― A Multicriteria Approach.- Decision Support via Simulation for a Multipurpose Hydroenergetic System.- Multiobjective Analysis of Forestry Management Models Using the Generalized Reachable Set Method.- A Multiobjective Procedure for Project Formulation ― Design of a Chemical Installation.- Appendices.- Workshop Program.- List of Contributors.
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