Recurrence Interval Analysis of Financial Time Series (Elements in Econophysics)

Zhou, Wei-Xing; Jiang, Zhi-Qiang; Xie, Wen-Jie

ISBN 10: 1009486616 / ISBN 13: 9781009486613

Editore: Cambridge University Press, 2024

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Titolo: Recurrence Interval Analysis of Financial ...

Casa editrice: Cambridge University Press

Data di pubblicazione: 2024

Legatura: Rilegato

Condizione: New

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Riassunto:

Extreme events are ubiquitous in nature and social society, including natural disasters, accident disasters, crises in public health (such as Ebola and the COVID-19 pandemic), and social security incidents (wars, conflicts, and social unrest). These extreme events will heavily impact financial markets and lead to the appearance of extreme fluctuations in financial time series. Such extreme events lack statistics and are thus hard to predict. Recurrence interval analysis provides a feasible solution for risk assessment and forecasting. This Element aims to provide a systemic description of the techniques and research framework of recurrence interval analysis of financial time series. The authors also provide perspectives on future topics in this direction.