Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Tetlock, Philip, Gardner, Dan
ISBN 10: 1847947158 ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Editore: Random House Books, 1871
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Befriedigend/Good: Durchschnittlich erhaltenes Buch bzw. Schutzumschlag mit Gebrauchsspuren, aber vollständigen Seiten. / Describes the average WORN book or dust jacket that has all the pages present. Codice articolo M01847947158-G
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Superforecasting, 9781847947154
Informazioni sull?autore:
Philip Tetlock is Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Psychology at the University of Pennsylvania. He is the author of several books on politics and psychology, including Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics and the award-winning Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?
Dan Gardner is a journalist, author and lecturer. He is the best-selling author of Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail and Why We Believe them Anyway and Risk: The Science and Politics of Fear, which was published in 11 countries and 7 languages. He lives in Ottawa, Canada.
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Titolo: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of ...
Casa editrice: Random House Books
Data di pubblicazione: 1871
Legatura: Brossura
Condizione: good
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Superforecasting
Editore:
Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158
ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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paperback
Da: Books From California, Simi Valley, CA, U.S.A.
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paperback. Condizione: Good. Cover shows minor wear. Pages are clean, text and pictures are intact and unmarred. Codice articolo mon0003651320
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Editore:
Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158
ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Da: WeBuyBooks, Rossendale, LANCS, Regno Unito
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Condizione: Very Good. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day. A copy that has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged. Codice articolo wbs4059058492
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Editore:
Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158
ISBN 13: 9781847947154
Antico o usato
Brossura
Da: WeBuyBooks, Rossendale, LANCS, Regno Unito
Valutazione del venditore 5 su 5 stelle
Condizione: Like New. Most items will be dispatched the same or the next working day. An apparently unread copy in perfect condition. Dust cover is intact with no nicks or tears. Spine has no signs of creasing. Pages are clean and not marred by notes or folds of any kind. Codice articolo wbs6893556128
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Editore:
Cornerstone, United Kingdom, London, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158
ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Paperback
Da: WorldofBooks, Goring-By-Sea, WS, Regno Unito
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Paperback. Condizione: Very Good. The international bestseller 'A manual for thinking clearly in an uncertain world. Read it.' Daniel Kahneman, author of Thinking, Fast and Slow _________________________ What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? Everything we do involves forecasts about how the future will unfold. Whether buying a new house or changing job, designing a new product or getting married, our decisions are governed by implicit predictions of how things are likely to turn out. The problem is, we're not very good at it. In a landmark, twenty-year study, Wharton professor Philip Tetlock showed that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Tetlock's latest project an unprecedented, government-funded forecasting tournament involving over a million individual predictions has since shown that there are, however, some people with real, demonstrable foresight. These are ordinary people, from former ballroom dancers to retired computer programmers, who have an extraordinary ability to predict the future with a degree of accuracy 60% greater than average. They are superforecasters. In Superforecasting, Tetlock and his co-author Dan Gardner offer a fascinating insight into what we can learn from this elite group. They show the methods used by these superforecasters which enable them to outperform even professional intelligence analysts with access to classified data. And they offer practical advice on how we can all use these methods for our own benefit whether in business, in international affairs, or in everyday life. _________________________ 'The techniques and habits of mind set out in this book are a gift to anyone who has to think about what the future might bring. In other words, to everyone.' Economist 'A terrific piece of work that deserves to be widely read . . . Highly recommended.' Independent 'The best thing I have read on predictions . . . Superforecasting is an indispensable guide to this indispensable activity.' The Times. The book has been read, but is in excellent condition. Pages are intact and not marred by notes or highlighting. The spine remains undamaged. Codice articolo GOR007690297
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Superforecasting : The Art and Science of Prediction
Editore:
Penguin Random House, 2016
ISBN 10: 1847947158
ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Da: Better World Books Ltd, Dunfermline, Regno Unito
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Condizione: Very Good. Ships from the UK. Used book that is in excellent condition. May show signs of wear or have minor defects. Codice articolo 19032812-20
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Superforecasting
Editore:
Random House Books (edition ), 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158
ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Paperback
Da: BooksRun, Philadelphia, PA, U.S.A.
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Paperback. Condizione: Good. Ship within 24hrs. Satisfaction 100% guaranteed. APO/FPO addresses supported. Codice articolo 1847947158-11-1
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Superforecasting
Editore:
Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158
ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Da: Big River Books, Powder Springs, GA, U.S.A.
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Condizione: good. This book is in good condition. The cover has minor creases or bends. The binding is tight and pages are intact. Some pages may have writing or highlighting. Codice articolo BRV.1847947158.G
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Da: Majestic Books, Hounslow, Regno Unito
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Condizione: New. pp. 352. Codice articolo 372761119
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Superforecasting : The Art and Science of Prediction
Editore:
Random House Books, 1871
ISBN 10: 1847947158
ISBN 13: 9781847947154
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Da: GreatBookPrices, Columbia, MD, U.S.A.
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Condizione: As New. Unread book in perfect condition. Codice articolo 25223562
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Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Da: Revaluation Books, Exeter, Regno Unito
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Paperback. Condizione: Brand New. 352 pages. 7.80x5.08x0.87 inches. In Stock. Codice articolo __1847947158
Quantità: 2 disponibili