Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction

Tetlock, Philip

ISBN 10: 1847947158 / ISBN 13: 9781847947154

Editore: Random House Books, 2016

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What if we could improve our ability to predict the future? This title shows that the average expert was only slightly better at predicting the future than a layperson using random guesswork. Num Pages: 352 pages. BIC Classification: JFFR; JM. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational; (U) Tertiary Education (US: College). Dimension: 131 x 197 x 23. Weight in Grams: 248. 2016. 1st Edition. paperback. . . . .

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Dati bibliografici

• Titolo: Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
• Editore: Random House Books
• Data di pubblicazione: 2016
• Lingua: Inglese
• ISBN 10: 1847947158
• ISBN 13: 9781847947154
• Rilegatura: Brossura
• Edizione: prima edizione
• Condizione: New

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Superforecasting, 9781847947154

Informazioni sull?autore

Philip Tetlock is Leonore Annenberg University Professor of Psychology at the University of Pennsylvania. He is the author of several books on politics and psychology, including Counterfactual Thought Experiments in World Politics and the award-winning Expert Political Judgment: How Good Is It? How Can We Know?

Dan Gardner is a journalist, author and lecturer. He is the best-selling author of Future Babble: Why Expert Predictions Fail and Why We Believe them Anyway and Risk: The Science and Politics of Fear, which was published in 11 countries and 7 languages. He lives in Ottawa, Canada.