9780367606947 - the logic of intelligence analysis: why hypothesis testing matters di spielmann, karl (26 risultati)
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Paperback. Condizione: New. This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis.By drawing on longstanding procedures of scientific method, particularly hypothesis testing, this book strongly critiques standard intelligence analytic practices. It shows these practices to be inadequa…te, as they are illogical in terms of what formal philosophy says any intelligence analysts can realistically be expected to know, and for the future when analysts will face pressures to adapt to digital age modeling techniques. The methodology focuses on identifying and remedying analytic errors caused by analyst cognitive biases and by foreign denial and deception. To demonstrate that it is a practical tool, it walks analysts through a case study, step by step, to show how its hypothesis testing can be implemented. It also invites a comparative test in the real world with any other intelligence methodologies to assess its strengths and weaknesses in predicting the outcome of an actual "live" intelligence issue.This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, public policy and national security, as well as practitioners.
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Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. The Logic of Intelligence Analysis | Why Hypothesis Testing Matters | Karl Spielmann | Taschenbuch | Einband - flex.(Paperback) | Englisch | 2020 | Routledge | EAN 9780367606947 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Libri GmbH, Europaallee 1, 36244 Bad Hersfeld, gpsr[at]libri[dot]de | Anbieter: preig…u.
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Paperback. Condizione: New. This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis.By drawing on longstanding procedures of scientific method, particularly hypothesis testing, this book strongly critiques standard intelligence analytic practices. It shows these practices to be inadequa…te, as they are illogical in terms of what formal philosophy says any intelligence analysts can realistically be expected to know, and for the future when analysts will face pressures to adapt to digital age modeling techniques. The methodology focuses on identifying and remedying analytic errors caused by analyst cognitive biases and by foreign denial and deception. To demonstrate that it is a practical tool, it walks analysts through a case study, step by step, to show how its hypothesis testing can be implemented. It also invites a comparative test in the real world with any other intelligence methodologies to assess its strengths and weaknesses in predicting the outcome of an actual "live" intelligence issue.This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, public policy and national security, as well as practitioners.
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Paperback. Condizione: new. Paperback. This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis.By drawing on longstanding procedures of scientific method, particularly hypothesis testing, this book strongly critiques standard intelligence analytic practices. It shows these practices to…be inadequate, as they are illogical in terms of what formal philosophy says any intelligence analysts can realistically be expected to know, and for the future when analysts will face pressures to adapt to digital age modeling techniques. The methodology focuses on identifying and remedying analytic errors caused by analyst cognitive biases and by foreign denial and deception. To demonstrate that it is a practical tool, it walks analysts through a case study, step by step, to show how its hypothesis testing can be implemented. It also invites a comparative test in the real world with any other intelligence methodologies to assess its strengths and weaknesses in predicting the outcome of an actual "live" intelligence issue.This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, public policy and national security, as well as practitioners. This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability.
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Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis.By drawing on longstanding procedures of scientific method, particularly hypothesis testing, this book strongly critiques standard i…ntelligence analytic practices. It shows these practices to be inadequate, as they are illogical in terms of what formal philosophy says any intelligence analysts can realistically be expected to know, and for the future when analysts will face pressures to adapt to digital age modeling techniques. The methodology focuses on identifying and remedying analytic errors caused by analyst cognitive biases and by foreign denial and deception. To demonstrate that it is a practical tool, it walks analysts through a case study, step by step, to show how its hypothesis testing can be implemented. It also invites a comparative test in the real world with any other intelligence methodologies to assess its strengths and weaknesses in predicting the outcome of an actual 'live' intelligence issue.This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, public policy and national security, as well as practitioners. 120 pp. Englisch.
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Paperback. Condizione: new. Paperback. This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis.By drawing on longstanding procedures of scientific method, particularly hypothesis testing, this book strongly critiques standard intelligence analytic practices. It shows these practices to…be inadequate, as they are illogical in terms of what formal philosophy says any intelligence analysts can realistically be expected to know, and for the future when analysts will face pressures to adapt to digital age modeling techniques. The methodology focuses on identifying and remedying analytic errors caused by analyst cognitive biases and by foreign denial and deception. To demonstrate that it is a practical tool, it walks analysts through a case study, step by step, to show how its hypothesis testing can be implemented. It also invites a comparative test in the real world with any other intelligence methodologies to assess its strengths and weaknesses in predicting the outcome of an actual "live" intelligence issue.This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, public policy and national security, as well as practitioners. This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability.
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Paperback. Condizione: new. Paperback. This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis.By drawing on longstanding procedures of scientific method, particularly hypothesis testing, this book strongly critiques standard intelligence analytic practices. It shows these practices to…be inadequate, as they are illogical in terms of what formal philosophy says any intelligence analysts can realistically be expected to know, and for the future when analysts will face pressures to adapt to digital age modeling techniques. The methodology focuses on identifying and remedying analytic errors caused by analyst cognitive biases and by foreign denial and deception. To demonstrate that it is a practical tool, it walks analysts through a case study, step by step, to show how its hypothesis testing can be implemented. It also invites a comparative test in the real world with any other intelligence methodologies to assess its strengths and weaknesses in predicting the outcome of an actual "live" intelligence issue.This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, public policy and national security, as well as practitioners. This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our Sydney, NSW warehouse or from our UK or US warehouse, depending on stock availability.
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Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. nach der Bestellung gedruckt Neuware - Printed after ordering - This book discusses the application of hypothesis testing to the practice of intelligence analysis.By drawing on longstanding procedures of scientific method, particularly hypothesis testing, this book strongly critiques standard intell…igence analytic practices. It shows these practices to be inadequate, as they are illogical in terms of what formal philosophy says any intelligence analysts can realistically be expected to know, and for the future when analysts will face pressures to adapt to digital age modeling techniques. The methodology focuses on identifying and remedying analytic errors caused by analyst cognitive biases and by foreign denial and deception. To demonstrate that it is a practical tool, it walks analysts through a case study, step by step, to show how its hypothesis testing can be implemented. It also invites a comparative test in the real world with any other intelligence methodologies to assess its strengths and weaknesses in predicting the outcome of an actual 'live' intelligence issue.This book will be of much interest to students of intelligence studies, public policy and national security, as well as practitioners.
