9780387098364 - apocalypse when?: calculating how long the human race will survive di wells, willard (22 risultati)
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Springer New York, 2009
- Brossura
Da: Better World Books: West, Reno, NV, U.S.A.Better World Books: West
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EUR 18,84
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Condizione: Very Good. Pages intact with possible writing/highlighting. Binding strong with minor wear. Dust jackets/supplements may not be included. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis Publications Inc, 2009
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Da: ThriftBooks-Dallas, Dallas, TX, U.S.A.ThriftBooks-Dallas
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EUR 19,48
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Paperback. Condizione: Very Good. No Jacket. May have limited writing in cover pages. Pages are unmarked. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
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Da: Marlton Books, Bridgeton, NJ, U.S.A.Marlton Books
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Condizione: Acceptable. Readable, but has significant damage / tears. Has a remainder mark. paperback Used - Acceptable 2009.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
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Da: GreatBookPrices, Columbia, MD, U.S.A.GreatBookPrices
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Condizione: New.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
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Da: Lakeside Books, Benton Harbor, MI, U.S.A.Lakeside Books
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EUR 23,88
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Condizione: New. Brand New! Not Overstocks or Low Quality Book Club Editions! Direct From the Publisher! We're not a giant, faceless warehouse organization! We're a small town bookstore that loves books and loves it's customers! Buy from Lakeside Books.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
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Da: California Books, Miami, FL, U.S.A.California Books
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EUR 27,55
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Condizione: New.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
- Brossura
Da: GreatBookPrices, Columbia, MD, U.S.A.GreatBookPrices
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EUR 25,69
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Condizione: As New. Unread book in perfect condition.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
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Da: Russell Books, Victoria, BC, CanadaRussell Books
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EUR 10,66
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Condizione: Good.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Springer-Verlag New York Inc., US, 2009
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Da: Rarewaves.com USA, London, LONDO, Regno UnitoRarewaves.com USA
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EUR 31,94
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Paperback. Condizione: New. 2009 ed. This book will be a key trailblazer in a new and upcoming field. The author's predictive approach relies on simple and intuitive probability formulations that will appeal to readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. Wells' carefully erected theory stands on a…sure footing and thus should serve as the basis of many rational predictions of survival in the face of not only natural disasters such as hits by asteroids or comets, but perhaps more surprisingly from man-made hazards arising from genetic engineering or robotics.Any formula for predicting human survival will invite controversy. Dr Wells counters anticipated criticism with a thorough approach in which four lines of reasoning are used to arrive at the same survival formula. One uses empirical survival statistics for business firms and stage shows. Another is based on uncertainty of risk rates. The third, more abstract, invokes Laplace's principle of insufficient reason and involves an observer's random arrival in the lifetime of the entity (the human race) in question. The fourth uses Bayesian theory.The author carefully explains and gives examples of the conditions under which his principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely. His deflection of possible criticisms results from two major premises: selecting the proper random variable and "reference class" to make predictions, and the recognition that if one does not know the law that governs a process, then the best prediction that can be made is his own formula.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
- Brossura
Da: Basi6 International, Irving, TX, U.S.A.Basi6 International
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EUR 36,35
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Condizione: Brand New. New. US edition. Expediting shipping for all USA and Europe orders excluding PO Box. Excellent Customer Service.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
- Brossura
Da: Ria Christie Collections, Uxbridge, Regno UnitoRia Christie Collections
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EUR 30,48
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Condizione: New. In.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
- Brossura
Da: GreatBookPricesUK, Woodford Green, Regno UnitoGreatBookPricesUK
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EUR 29,97
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Condizione: New.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
- Brossura
Da: GreatBookPricesUK, Woodford Green, Regno UnitoGreatBookPricesUK
Contatta il venditoreVenditore con 5 stelleCondizione: Usato - Come nuovo
EUR 32,25
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Condizione: As New. Unread book in perfect condition.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Springer, 2009
- Brossura
Da: Books Puddle, New York, NY, U.S.A.Books Puddle
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Condizione: New. pp. 200.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Springer New York, Copernicus, 2009
- Brossura
Da: AHA-BUCH GmbH, Einbeck, GermaniaAHA-BUCH GmbH
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EUR 34,51
EUR 61,86 spedizioneSpedito da Germania a U.S.A.Quantità: 1 disponibili
Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. Druck auf Anfrage Neuware - Printed after ordering - This book will be a key trailblazer in a new and upcoming field. The author's predictive approach relies on simple and intuitive probability formulations that will appeal to readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics…. Wells' carefully erected theory stands on a sure footing and thus should serve as the basis of many rational predictions of survival in the face of not only natural disasters such as hits by asteroids or comets, but perhaps more surprisingly from man-made hazards arising from genetic engineering or robotics.Any formula for predicting human survival will invite controversy. Dr Wells counters anticipated criticism with a thorough approach in which four lines of reasoning are used to arrive at the same survival formula. One uses empirical survival statistics for business firms and stage shows. Another is based on uncertainty of risk rates. The third, more abstract, invokes Laplace's principle of insufficient reason and involves an observer's random arrival in the lifetime of the entity (the human race) in question. The fourth uses Bayesian theory.The author carefully explains and gives examples of the conditions under which his principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely. His deflection of possible criticisms results from two major premises: selecting the proper random variable and 'reference class' to make predictions, and the recognition that if one does not know the law that governs a process, then the best prediction that can be made is his own formula.
Altre immaginiLingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, 2009
- Brossura
Da: preigu, Osnabrück, Germaniapreigu
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EUR 32,45
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Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. Apocalypse When? | Calculating How Long the Human Race Will Survive | Willard Wells | Taschenbuch | Springer Praxis Books | xxviii | Englisch | 2009 | Praxis | EAN 9780387098364 | Verantwortliche Person für die EU: Springer Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg, juergen[dot]hartmann[at]sp…ringer[dot]com | Anbieter: preigu.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Springer-Verlag New York Inc., US, 2009
- Brossura
Da: Rarewaves.com UK, London, Regno UnitoRarewaves.com UK
Contatta il venditoreVenditore con 5 stelleCondizione: Nuovo
EUR 29,98
EUR 75,94 spedizioneSpedito da Regno Unito a U.S.A.Quantità: Più di 20 disponibili
Paperback. Condizione: New. 2009 ed. This book will be a key trailblazer in a new and upcoming field. The author's predictive approach relies on simple and intuitive probability formulations that will appeal to readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, and statistics. Wells' carefully erected theory stands on a…sure footing and thus should serve as the basis of many rational predictions of survival in the face of not only natural disasters such as hits by asteroids or comets, but perhaps more surprisingly from man-made hazards arising from genetic engineering or robotics.Any formula for predicting human survival will invite controversy. Dr Wells counters anticipated criticism with a thorough approach in which four lines of reasoning are used to arrive at the same survival formula. One uses empirical survival statistics for business firms and stage shows. Another is based on uncertainty of risk rates. The third, more abstract, invokes Laplace's principle of insufficient reason and involves an observer's random arrival in the lifetime of the entity (the human race) in question. The fourth uses Bayesian theory.The author carefully explains and gives examples of the conditions under which his principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely. His deflection of possible criticisms results from two major premises: selecting the proper random variable and "reference class" to make predictions, and the recognition that if one does not know the law that governs a process, then the best prediction that can be made is his own formula.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Springer New York Jun 2009, 2009
- Brossura
- Print on Demand
Da: BuchWeltWeit Ludwig Meier e.K., Bergisch Gladbach, GermaniaBuchWeltWeit Ludwig Meier e.K.
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EUR 32,99
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Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. This item is printed on demand - it takes 3-4 days longer - Neuware -This book will be a key trailblazer in a new and upcoming field. The author's predictive approach relies on simple and intuitive probability formulations that will appeal to readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics…, and statistics. Wells' carefully erected theory stands on a sure footing and thus should serve as the basis of many rational predictions of survival in the face of not only natural disasters such as hits by asteroids or comets, but perhaps more surprisingly from man-made hazards arising from genetic engineering or robotics.Any formula for predicting human survival will invite controversy. Dr Wells counters anticipated criticism with a thorough approach in which four lines of reasoning are used to arrive at the same survival formula. One uses empirical survival statistics for business firms and stage shows. Another is based on uncertainty of risk rates. The third, more abstract, invokes Laplace's principle of insufficient reason and involves an observer's random arrival in the lifetime of the entity (the human race) in question. The fourth uses Bayesian theory.The author carefully explains and gives examples of the conditions under which his principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely. His deflection of possible criticisms results from two major premises: selecting the proper random variable and 'reference class' to make predictions, and the recognition that if one does not know the law that governs a process, then the best prediction that can be made is his own formula. 240 pp. Englisch.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Springer, 2009
- Brossura
- Print on Demand
Da: Majestic Books, Hounslow, Regno UnitoMajestic Books
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EUR 51,21
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Condizione: New. Print on Demand pp. 200.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Springer, 2009
- Brossura
- Print on Demand
Da: Biblios, frankfurt am main, HESSE, GermaniaBiblios
Contatta il venditoreVenditore con 4 stelleCondizione: Nuovo
EUR 52,62
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Condizione: New. PRINT ON DEMAND pp. 200.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Springer New York, 2009
- Brossura
- Print on Demand
Da: moluna, Greven, Germaniamoluna
Contatta il venditoreVenditore con 5 stelleCondizione: Nuovo
EUR 29,09
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Condizione: New. Dieser Artikel ist ein Print on Demand Artikel und wird nach Ihrer Bestellung fuer Sie gedruckt. Provides a unique analysis of the chances of human survivability in the short and long termDevelops a formula for survival based on four separate measuresGives the numerical estimates of human survivalSubstantiates a…nalysis with stat.
Lingua: Inglese
Editore: Praxis, Springer Jun 2009, 2009
- Brossura
- Print on Demand
Da: buchversandmimpf2000, Emtmannsberg, BAYE, Germaniabuchversandmimpf2000
Contatta il venditoreVenditore con 5 stelleCondizione: Nuovo
EUR 32,99
EUR 60,00 spedizioneSpedito da Germania a U.S.A.Quantità: 1 disponibili
Taschenbuch. Condizione: Neu. This item is printed on demand - Print on Demand Titel. Neuware -This book will be a key trailblazer in a new and upcoming field. The author¿s predictive approach relies on simple and intuitive probability formulations that will appeal to readers with a modest knowledge of astronomy, mathematics, an…d statistics. Wells¿ carefully erected theory stands on a sure footing and thus should serve as the basis of many rational predictions of survival in the face of not only natural disasters such as hits by asteroids or comets, but perhaps more surprisingly from man-made hazards arising from genetic engineering or robotics.Any formula for predicting human survival will invite controversy. Dr Wells counters anticipated criticism with a thorough approach in which four lines of reasoning are used to arrive at the same survival formula. One uses empirical survival statistics for business firms and stage shows. Another is based on uncertainty of risk rates. The third, more abstract, invokes Laplace¿s principle of insufficient reason and involves an observer¿s random arrival in the lifetime of the entity (the human race) in question. The fourth uses Bayesian theory.The author carefully explains and gives examples of the conditions under which his principle is valid and provides evidence that can counteract the arguments of critics who would reject it entirely. His deflection of possible criticisms results from two major premises: selecting the proper random variable and ¿reference class¿ to make predictions, and the recognition that if one does not know the law that governs a process, then the best prediction that can be made is his own formula.Springer-Verlag GmbH, Tiergartenstr. 17, 69121 Heidelberg 240 pp. Englisch.
