9780470029992 - Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities di O'Hagan, Anthony; Buck, Caitlin E.; Daneshkhah, Alireza; Eiser, J. Richard; Garthwaite, Paul H. (25 risultati)

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Hardback. Condizione: New. Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research.Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities.Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs.Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences.Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.

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gebundene Ausgabe. Condizione: Gut. 321 Seiten Der Erhaltungszustand des hier angebotenen Werks ist trotz seiner Bibliotheksnutzung sehr sauber und kann entsprechende Merkmale aufweisen (Rückenschild, Instituts-Stempel.). In ENGLISCHER Sprache. Sprache: Englisch Gewicht in Gramm: 620.

Hardcover. Condizione: Fine. PRISTINE CONDITION: A 'Like New' copy of 'Uncertain Judgements: Eliciting Experts' Probabilities (Statistics in Practice)'. Part of the Wiley "Statistics in Practice" series. A specialized guide to quantifying expert opinion for risk and policy analysis. Essential for decision scientists and statisticians. No highlighting, markings, or spine creases. Ideal for students, researchers, and professional libraries. Used - like new. Ships from the USA. Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples.This is achieved by:Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research.Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities.Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs.Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences.Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms.An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.

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Condizione: New. pp. 338 Illus.

Condizione: New. Uncertain Judgments Eliciting Experts' Probabilities presents a range of tried and tested elicitation methods to enable statisticians to get make the most of expert opinion. An elicitation method forms a bridge between an expert's opinion and an expression of these points in a statistically useful form. Series: Statistics in Practice. Num Pages: 338 pages, Illustrations, BIC Classification: MB; PN; TJ. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational. Dimension: 218 x 148 x 27. Weight in Grams: 560. . 2006. 1st Edition. Hardcover. . . . .

Condizione: New. pp. 338.

Condizione: New. Uncertain Judgments Eliciting Experts' Probabilities presents a range of tried and tested elicitation methods to enable statisticians to get make the most of expert opinion. An elicitation method forms a bridge between an expert's opinion and an expression of these points in a statistically useful form. Series: Statistics in Practice. Num Pages: 338 pages, Illustrations, BIC Classification: MB; PN; TJ. Category: (P) Professional & Vocational. Dimension: 218 x 148 x 27. Weight in Grams: 560. . 2006. 1st Edition. Hardcover. . . . . Books ship from the US and Ireland.

Condizione: New. Professor Anthony O Hagan is the Director of The Centre for Bayesian Statistics in Health Economics at the University of Sheffield. The Centre is a collaboration between the Department of Probability and Statistics and the School of Health and Related Resea.

Hardcover. Condizione: Brand New. 321 pages. 9.25x6.25x0.75 inches. In Stock.

hardcover. Condizione: New. In shrink wrap. Looks like an interesting title!

Hardback. Condizione: New. Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research.Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities.Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs.Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences.Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.

Hardcover. Condizione: Like New. Like New. book.

Buch. Condizione: Neu. Neuware - Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples.This is achieved by:\* Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research.\* Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities.\* Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs.\* Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences.\* Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms.An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences.

Hardcover. Condizione: new. Hardcover. Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research.Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities.Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs.Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences.Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences. Uncertain Judgments Eliciting Experts' Probabilities presents a range of tried and tested elicitation methods to enable statisticians to get make the most of expert opinion. An elicitation method forms a bridge between an expert's opinion and an expression of these points in a statistically useful form. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from multiple locations in the US or from the UK, depending on stock availability.

Hardback. Condizione: New. This item is printed on demand. New copy - Usually dispatched within 5-9 working days.

Hardcover. Condizione: Brand New. 321 pages. 9.25x6.25x0.75 inches. In Stock. This item is printed on demand.

Hardcover. Condizione: new. Hardcover. Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research.Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities.Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs.Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences.Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences. Uncertain Judgments Eliciting Experts' Probabilities presents a range of tried and tested elicitation methods to enable statisticians to get make the most of expert opinion. An elicitation method forms a bridge between an expert's opinion and an expression of these points in a statistically useful form. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our UK warehouse or from our Australian or US warehouses, depending on stock availability.

Hardcover. Condizione: new. Hardcover. Elicitation is the process of extracting expert knowledge about some unknown quantity or quantities, and formulating that information as a probability distribution. Elicitation is important in situations, such as modelling the safety of nuclear installations or assessing the risk of terrorist attacks, where expert knowledge is essentially the only source of good information. It also plays a major role in other contexts by augmenting scarce observational data, through the use of Bayesian statistical methods. However, elicitation is not a simple task, and practitioners need to be aware of a wide range of research findings in order to elicit expert judgements accurately and reliably. Uncertain Judgements introduces the area, before guiding the reader through the study of appropriate elicitation methods, illustrated by a variety of multi-disciplinary examples. This is achieved by: Presenting a methodological framework for the elicitation of expert knowledge incorporating findings from both statistical and psychological research.Detailing techniques for the elicitation of a wide range of standard distributions, appropriate to the most common types of quantities.Providing a comprehensive review of the available literature and pointing to the best practice methods and future research needs.Using examples from many disciplines, including statistics, psychology, engineering and health sciences.Including an extensive glossary of statistical and psychological terms. An ideal source and guide for statisticians and psychologists with interests in expert judgement or practical applications of Bayesian analysis, Uncertain Judgements will also benefit decision-makers, risk analysts, engineers and researchers in the medical and social sciences. Uncertain Judgments Eliciting Experts' Probabilities presents a range of tried and tested elicitation methods to enable statisticians to get make the most of expert opinion. An elicitation method forms a bridge between an expert's opinion and an expression of these points in a statistically useful form. This item is printed on demand. Shipping may be from our Sydney, NSW warehouse or from our UK or US warehouse, depending on stock availability.