ISBN: 9780525952053 - future babble: why expert predictions are next to worthless, and you can do better (19 risultati)

hardcover. Condizione: Fair.

Hardback. Condizione: Good. New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them.--Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it.Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, hedgehogs who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while foxes, who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.…

hardcover. Condizione: Good.

Hardcover. Condizione: Very Good. No Jacket. Missing dust jacket; May have limited writing in cover pages. Pages are unmarked. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condizione: Very Good. No Jacket. Former library book; May have limited writing in cover pages. Pages are unmarked. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condizione: Very Good. No Jacket. Former library book; May have limited writing in cover pages. Pages are unmarked. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condizione: Very Good. No Jacket. May have limited writing in cover pages. Pages are unmarked. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

Hardcover. Condizione: Very Good. No Jacket. May have limited writing in cover pages. Pages are unmarked. ~ ThriftBooks: Read More, Spend Less.

hardcover. Condizione: Very Good.

Condizione: Good. First Edition. Pages intact with minimal writing/highlighting. The binding may be loose and creased. Dust jackets/supplements are not included. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.

Condizione: Very Good. First Edition. Pages intact with possible writing/highlighting. Binding strong with minor wear. Dust jackets/supplements may not be included. Stock photo provided. Product includes identifying sticker. Better World Books: Buy Books. Do Good.

hardcover. Condizione: Very Good. Connecting readers with great books since 1972! Used books may not include companion materials, and may have some shelf wear or limited writing. We ship orders daily and Customer Service is our top priority.

Hardback. Condizione: Good. New York Times bestselling author of Superforecasting and Future Babble Genuinely arresting . . . required reading for journalists, politicians, academics, and anyone who listens to them.--Steven Pinker, author of How the Mind Works We are awash in predictions. In newspapers, blogs, and books; on radio and television. Every day experts tell us how the economy will perform next year, if housing sales will grow or shrink, and who will win the next election. Predictions are offered about the climate, food, technology, and the world our grandchildren will inhabit. And we can't get enough of it.Drawing on research in cognitive psychology, political science, and behavioral economics, award-winning journalist Dan Gardner explores our obsession with the future. He shows how famous pundits, hedgehogs who stick to one big idea no matter how circumstances change, become expert at explaining away predictions that are wrong while foxes, who are more equivocal in their judgments, are simply more accurate.…

Condizione: Good. Good condition. Good dust jacket. A copy that has been read but remains intact. May contain markings such as bookplates, stamps, limited notes and highlighting, or a few light stains.

Hardcover. Condizione: Very Good. Condizione sovraccoperta: Very Good. 1st Edition. Book is clean and tight. Ex Lib with minimal markings. 320 p. Book.

Condizione: New.

Hardcover. Condizione: New. Excellent condition. Interior is tight, bright and clean; no underlining, notes or highlighting. Hard covers are tight and stiff. Complete with original and sticker free paper dust cover. Minor scuffing and/or wrinkles on the paper dust cover. 100% Satisfaction Guaranteed. All items are carefully enclosed with bubble wrap. We ship promptly and worldwide via US Post and will email you a tracking number.…

Hardcover. Condizione: Brand New. 320 pages. 9.00x6.50x1.00 inches. In Stock.

hardcover. Condizione: New. In shrink wrap. Looks like an interesting title.